The Macro Trading Floor
The Macro Trading Floor is a fun and actionable macro and markets podcast hosted by Alfonso Peccatiello and Brent Donnelly. It offers banter, financial education, and actionable trade ideas for listeners interested in macroeconomics and trading.
Episodes
On Sizing Options, The Fed and The JPY
In this episode, Alf and Brent talk about the Fed's likely reaction function to incoming data and the Bessent/Japan accord on the JPY. The duo then discusses one of the trickiest questions for macro PMs: when to use options, and how to size them?
Warsh Woke Up The Bond Vigilantes
Alf and Brent discuss the significant market reaction to Warsh's press conference: the Fed handed over the keys to the bond market, and now Bond Vigilantes are in charge until data comes in to set the direction straight for everyone. How to handle such a market environment?
The Orange Variable
Brent and Alf discuss the n-th injection of the Orange Variable in markets: Trump decided to escalate again with Iran, and even suggested the ceasefire might be over altogether. The duo discusses how to approach these injections of uncertainty, and what are the best trading and risk management frameworks to deploy here.
The Rebasement Trade
Alf and Brent discuss the major market shifts since the Warsh press conference. Is this a big macro shift or just a mini-trend that will ultimately slow down or even reverse?
The Inflation Ghost, Gold and Options
To reach out to Alf: alf@palinurocapital.com (or Alfonso Peccatiello on BBG)
To reach out to Brent: bdonnelly@spectramarkets.com (or Brent Donnelly on BBG)
In this episode, Alf and Brent discuss the best risk/reward ways to position for the macro environment ahead of us. They then deep dive into option structures around gold, and the question of increasing sample size of trades to reduce PnL var
Process, Process, Process
To reach out to Alf: alf@palinurocapital.com (or Alfonso Peccatiello on BBG)
To reach out to Brent: bdonnelly@spectramarkets.com (or Brent Donnelly on BBG)
In this episode, Alf and Brent focus on various aspects of their investment/risk management process. They discuss several ideas and how to implement them according to their framework: when to use options? How to think about convexity?
Macro Investing In A Post-Hormuz World
To reach out to Alf: alf@palinurocapital.com
To reach out to Brent: bdonnelly@spectramarkets.com
Alf and Brent refresh their macro and trading frameworks on the basis of new info: the Iran/US MoU in negotiation phase, how the world might look like when Hormuz reopens, the Japanese FX intervention and more.
New All-Time Highs Are Here: Now What?
To reach out to Alf: alf@palinurocapital.com
To reach out to Brent: bdonnelly@spectramarkets.com
Alf and Brent discuss the framework for an Iran-US deal, and how to approach rates, currencies and equity markets for the foreseeable future.
Frameworks To Trade The Hormuz Crisis
To reach out to Alf: alf@palinurocapital.com
To reach out to Brent: bdonnelly@spectramarkets.com
Alf and Brent are back discussing frameworks to approach this market as a short-term oriented trader or as a long-term focused macro investor.
How To Trade Macro In A War
Alf and Brent reflect on correlations converging to 1 across asset classes, risk management practices in macro deleveraging events, and a game theory approach to how the war could unfold from here.
Hormuz & The Terms of Trade Shock
Alf and Brent discuss the terms of trade shock that the de-facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz is causing. The duo walk through scenarios and probabilities and what framework can be used to trade such a market environment,
The New Fed vs The Good Old Bond Market
To reach out to Alf and Brent, ping them on BBG (Alfonso Peccatiello and Brent Donnelly).
In this episode, Alf and Brent discuss how the appointment of the new Fed Chair could shape the US policy making objective in the bond market. The repercussions on the USD and on the incentive schemes for other large bond market players (e.g. Japanese investors) are not to be underestimated.
US Dollar Hedging: A Real Risk or Just a Narrative?
To reach out to Alf and Brent, ping them on BBG (Alfonso Peccatiello and Brent Donnelly).
In this episode, Alf and Brent reflect on the April-2025-like price action which coincided with the tariff threats. Now that the TACO is here, the real question is: will this episode encourage global pension funds to hedge their gigantic USD exposure?
Japanese Macro Tails
To reach out to Alf and Brent, ping them on BBG (Alfonso Peccatiello and Brent Donnelly).
In this episode, Alf and Brent focus the discussion on Japanese short-term and long-term macro: is the MoF ready to intervene? How do you trade these policymaker-induced setups? And in the long-run, will the market keep punishing the JPY and long-end bonds or will the Bank of Japan turn hawkish and surpris
The Everything SuperCycle?
To reach out to Alf and Brent, ping them on BBG (Alfonso Peccatiello and Brent Donnelly).
In the first TMTF episode of 2026, Alf and Brent discuss every single macro asset class under the sun: equities, bonds, currencies and commodities. The duo also talks about the reaction function of the Fed, and a few idiosyncratic ideas.
More Pain Ahead Or Buy The Dip?
The Nasdaq has now sold off nearly 10% from the highs, and the pain in momentum assets is even more severe.
Alf and Brent discuss whether there are reasons to believe more pain lies ahead, or this is the time to step in and buy the dip.
''Run It Hot'': The Comeback?
Alf and Brent discuss the resurgence of the ''run it hot'' trade: Trump floating around new fiscal stimulus and government reopening odds seem to have revived the trade. How to best approach markets going forward?
Want to reach out to Alf or Brent?
Alfonso Peccatiello on Bloomberg chat, or alf@themacrocompass.com
Brent Donnelly on Bloomberg chat, or bdonnelly@spectramarkets.com
We Have A Deal: Now What?
Alf and Brent discuss the market reaction to the ''deal'' between Trump and Xi: what happens next?
The duo also covers the Fed and BoJ decisions, the state of the AI trade, and the Supreme Court hearings on tariffs starting next week.
Momentum Shock: What Next For Markets?
Have a great macro trade idea for Alf and Brent to discuss on the show? Send your trade idea here: TMTF Trade Of The Week
Alf and Brent discuss the vicious momentum unwind which took down precious metals and various speculative stock market sectors: what should we expect now? The duo also discusses the upcoming US CPI, and take a step back to assess the big picture macro setup we will likely fac
Gold & Cockroaches
Have a great macro trade idea for Alf and Brent to discuss on the show? Send your trade idea here: TMTF Trade Of The Week
In this episode, Alf and Brent discuss the massive rally in precious metals: what's behind it? Is it a broad debasement theme or just a big momentum trade? And is Dimon right when he talks about more cockroaches in credit markets?
Buy The Bubble or Watch It Burst?
Alf and Brent discuss the massive AI-driven rally which is beginning to have strong implications for broader markets and the economy. Brent presents the consensus view from several hedge fund PMs he met in Singapore - are they riding the bubble or afraid it's going to burst soon? And what about bonds, gold, and the USD?
Cracks In The US Labor Market - What Next?
Alf and Brent discuss the recent NFP print and its implications for markets. They also reflect on the right framework to apply to RSI and options when dealing with asset classes having skewed return distributions.
The Truth Behind Fiscal Dominance
Alf and Brent discuss the latest attempt from Trump to gain more control over the Fed, and the implications this might have on multiple asset classes. They also discuss the JPY and the political situation in France.
Run It Hot Hot Hot
Alf and Brent discuss the surprising Jackson Hole speech in which Powell opened up to interest rate cuts already in September. Markets are reacting strongly, but the real question is what should we expect if Trump runs the economy hot alongside a dovish Fed in 2026?
Is The Fed Ready To Capitulate Dovish?
Alf and Brent discuss the weak labor market data and the likely Fed reaction function. The duo also reflects on how you might be right on the macro idea, but market pricing at inception of your trade matters sometimes more than whether you were directionally right or wrong.
The Tariff Mismatch Theory
Alf and Brent discuss the sharp USD repricing and the market positioning for a mild tariff impact on the US economy - what if we get a surprising slowdown over the next few months instead?
Carry & Options In A Trump World
Alf and Brent discuss the recent clashes between the Trump administration and the Fed, the more friendly deal-making stance on tariff deals, and how to use options when trying to capture convex moves and incorporate carry into your thinking.
Macro Crossroads: What's Next For Markets?
Alf and Brent discuss the crossroads ahead of us for the economy and markets: the USD selling seems to have lost steam, and tariffs' impact on the economy won't be easy to judge for months. So, what lies ahead of us?
Time For The Fed To Turn Dovish?
Alf and Brent discuss the recent soft CPI print and the state of the US labor market. They highlight the odds of a dovish Fed pivot, and what that might entail for markets.
Transcript: https://www.spectramarkets.com/tmtf-transcript-11jun25/
Another $5 Trillion of US Deficits in 10 Years: Now What?
Alf and Brent discuss recent market developments with a focus on the ''big beautiful bill'' that Republicans are trying to pass in the House and Senate. The initial estimate suggest new tax cuts would increase US budget deficits by about $500bn per year for the next decade. Will the market give another free pass to US deficits, or will the bond/USD vigilantes show up this time?
Recession Risks & Reflexivity
Alf and Brent discuss the reflexivity bias: now that the S&P500 is rallying again, investors are keen to talk about AI Capex driving indexes higher - where were they when we hit 4,800? Always be aware of your negative and positive biases. The duo also discusses recession odds and a gameplan to approach rates, FX and equity markets.
Podcast transcript: https://www.spectramarkets.com/tmtf-transcrip
Trillions of US Dollars To Sell?!
This week, Alf and Brent focus on an obscure yet crucial component of FX flows: the hedging needs from large institutional investors. These whales own $33+ trillion of USD-denominated assets, and over the last 15 years they have systematically under-hedged their USD exposure - were they to change their mind forecasting a weaker USD, there could be trillions of US Dollars to sell.
The Bond Vigilantes Are Here
Alf and Brent discuss the incredible price action we are witnessing: USD down, equities down, and now bond yields up too. This is what Bond Vigilantes price action looks like, and while it's typical in emerging markets it's almost unprecedented in the US.
Transcript: https://www.spectramarkets.com/tmtf-transcript-10apr25/
You Ready For Liberation Day?
Alf and Brent discuss the ''Liberation Day'' deadline for tariffs - and come up with some interesting conclusions. Also, the duo assesses what the Trump administration's long-term plan might be. Finally, Alf and Brent discuss the concept and risk management behind carry trades.
Transcript: https://www.spectramarkets.com/tmtf-transcript-27mar25/
Wake Up: The German Fiscal Stimulus Is Huge
Alf and Brent discuss the German fiscal stimulus announcement: with its gigantic magnitude and fast-track process, this marks a historical turnaround for Germany and Europe. The implications for markets are big in stocks, bonds, and FX.
Growth Scare: Yes or No?
Alf and Brent unpack the last big market moves which investors are broadly interpreting as a growth scare. Is that the correct interpretation? And in general: are we going to have a US growth scare or not?
The Next Big Macro Trade
Markets are caught between cross currents, and the thesis for a stronger USD / sticky inflation seems as valid as the thesis for gentle disinflation / slower growth. Brent and Alf discuss what the next big macro trade could be.
Transcript: https://www.spectramarkets.com/tmtf-transcript-20feb25/
How To Trade Tariff Day
In this episode, Alf and Brent reflect on the upcoming ''Tariff Day'' and how to trade it. The duo shares their scenario-based approach covering multiple asset classes including bonds, FX and equities.
Show notes: https://50in50.substack.com/p/trade-6-options-or-cash
Transcript: https://www.spectramarkets.com/tmtf-transcript-17jan25/
The UK Bond Market Is Imploding
Alf and Brent discuss the big moves in UK bond markets and the drop in the UK Sterling: bond vigilantes are in action, but what next? They also focus on the upcoming tariff announcement and the impact on US bond markets, the US Dollar and equity markets.
Transcript: https://www.spectramarkets.com/tmtf-transcript-10jan25/
The Most Hawkish Fed In Years - What Now?
Powell delivered a super hawkish message: inflation remains sticky, and the Fed won’t cut rates as much as the market expected in 2025. The “Fed Put” is not there anymore - should investors go and buy their own puts?
Transcript: https://www.spectramarkets.com/tmtf-transcript-20dec24/
The US Dilemma in 2025
Alf and Brent discuss the US dilemma in 2025: should Trump be aggressive out of the gate with tariffs sacrificing growth for foreign policy victories, or should he focus on other priorities allowing Powell to cut rates and facilitate the refinancing of $7 trillion of maturing Treasuries? The duo also discussed the perils and benefits of leverage in trading and investing.
Do you want to ask questi
Trading Trump 2.0
Alf and Brent resume the show by assessing how to approach Trump 2.0 from a macro trading perspective in 2025. They also discuss the ''Death of Europe'': is it happening, or is it an overcrowded narrative?
Trial for Alf's Institutional Research: https://forms.gle/25heFudTB4ouuJ1H6
Brent's Daily Newsletter: https://www.spectramarkets.com/
Transcript: https://www.spectramarkets.com/tmtf-transcrip
Trump's Secret Agenda
In this week's episode, Brent and Alf discuss the implications of a Republican sweep. Markets reacted in a textbook way, but today they are busy unwinding most ''Trump trades''. Should we take Trump's agenda at face value and assume it's negative for bonds and positive for the USD? Or should we instead dig deeper and figure out what Trump really wants?
FREE trial to Alf's research: https://forms.
The Bond Market Is On Fire
Heading into US elections, US bond markets are on fire: yields are selling off, the term premium is back in positive territory, and investors are worried the sell-off can extend further.
Alf and Brent discuss a framework to assess bond yields, the role of tariffs, how to look at the US Dollar and they also zoom in on Canada where the Central Bank has been forced to aggressively cut interest rates.
Financial Repression Is Here To Stay
Alf and Brent discuss the recent sharp moves in US election polls and betting markets: Trump's odds are moving up, and so are the odds of a Red Sweep. Is the market fully incorporating these odds? Also, the duo discusses the possibility of persistent financial repression regardless of who prevails in US elections. Finally, they engage in a discussion about the importance of correlations for macro
What If The Fed Made a Mistake?
Alf and Brent discuss the most recent US macro data releases: the hurricane impacted jobless claims, and core inflation has surprised to the upside. Trump now seems to decidedly lead the polls, and his policies could be inflationary. Did the Fed make a mistake by cutting 50 bps? The duo also discusses the Saturday Chinese fiscal press conference, and how to handle seasonality in your trading frame
Macro Risks On The Horizon
EXCLUSIVE DISCOUNT TO ALF & BRENT CONFERENCE
https://www.spectramarkets.com/macro-roadmap-2025/
Use the coupon TMTF to get $200 OFF.
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Alf and Brent discuss the many risks on the horizon: the Middle-East escalation, China following up (or not) with re
Unpacking The Chinese Stimulus Bazooka
The Chinese stimulus bazooka has been fired.
Chinese authorities have announced aggressive interest rate cuts, a 1 trillion yuan capital injection for Chinese banks, and they
are also mentioning the magic words: fiscal stimulus.
As a result, stocks are soaring and commodities are rallying.
But - is it really going to work? And can China really afford such a stimulus?
Alf and Brent unpack this in
How To Trade The Fed Cutting Cycle
Alf and Brent discuss the jumbo 50 bps Fed cut and the nuances Powell shared during the press conference. They look at historical parallels to derive how to best approach different asset classes with a specific focus on the USD. They also cover the Chinese economy which seems to be slowly imploding from within.
We are now also on Youtube, where you can see supporting charts and our bald heads.
ht
The World is Different Now
Alf and Brent discuss similarities and differences between the world and the macro cycle today versus the pre-pandemic period. While the cycle might look similar, should we not pay attention to the structural differences too? The duo moves on to discuss the aggressive bond market pricing and how to trade around that. Finally, they focus on the US Dollar: will it perform nicely or poorly if we get
Will The Fed Cut by 25 or 50 bps?
Alf and Brent discuss recent developments in macro and labor market data, and debate whether the Fed will cut by 25 or 50 bps in September. Is the bond market overestimating the amount of upcoming cuts, or economic weakness will require the Fed to cut rates even more aggressively? They then move to investigate how long-term investing bias can negatively affect short-term oriented trading decisions
How & When The Best Macro Investors Use Options
In this episode, Alf and Brent discuss how cross-asset pricing in bonds, FX and equity markets has rapidly changed in August and compare it with the hard economic reality: are there opportunities to be exploited? They then make a deep dive on the US Dollar, and finally cover a crucial trading framework topic: when and how to use options instead of linear structures to put up macro trades?
FREE TR
A Tale of Crowded Macro Trades
Alf and Brent reflect on the immense volatility hitting markets recently, and specifically on the unwind of carry trades: are we done here or is there more to come? Most importantly, they describe how to design and apply a risk management and position sizing framework so that when everybody panics you don't need to.
Want to reach out to Alf? Ping Alfonso Peccatiello on Bloomberg
Brent Donnelly ca
Macro Mayhem!
Alf and Brent reflect on the massive bond market rally and the explosive move in the Japanese Yen - what’s next for macro?
To contact Alf: send him an email at info@palinurocapital.com or contact him on Bloomberg (Alfonso Peccatiello)
To contact Brent: ping him on Bloomberg (Brent Donnelly) or go on http://www.spectramarkets.com/
Brent’s piece on positioning: https://50in50.substack.com/p/trade
Explaining This Brutal Stocks Sell-Off
This week, Alf and Brent discuss the brutal equity market sell-off: is it due to macro tectonic shifts, a reassessment of political risks or an unwind of crowded trades?
The duo digs deep trying to connect the dots, and they also discuss a trading framework around this large volatility events.
Where To Find Cheap Macro Optionality
Alf and Brent look into various ''Trump trades'' now that the odds of a Trump election and Republican sweep have increased: is there still juice left? And where? Specifically, they also reflect on the use of options as macro traders.
Want to see Alf's Cheap Optionality Monitor?
Ping him (Alfonso Peccatiello) on Bloomberg
And take advantage of Brent's course offer!
Think Like a Market Profession
It's Macro ShowTime!
Alf and Brent discuss the interesting market reaction to the weak US CPI report, and they dig deep into the '''Trump trade'': how would you trade a Trump victory and why? They also talk about the US Dollar and bond markets.
Want to chat with Alf on Bloomberg? Ping him (Alfonso Peccatiello)
You can find Brent's work on Spectra Markets or ping him on BBG (Brent Donnelly)
Transcript of the episode:
Option Markets Are Eating The World
In this episode, Alf invites Cem Karsan to discuss what's going on in option markets. Cem does a great job at explaining what's the dispersion trade, how big it has become, and how it might unwind wreaking havoc across asset classes. Alf and Cem also discuss macro and how to use options to structure good risk/reward trade ideas.
Visit Cem's website: https://www.kaivolatility.com/
What Powell Really Meant
A big macro week is behind us: the combination of CPI and PPI releases provide us with solid information on where the disinflation trend stands. Alf and Brent also discuss Powell’s press conference + change in dots and the European political risks.
Want to get in touch with Alf or Brent?
Ping Alfonso Peccatiello on Bloomberg
Ping Brent Donnelly on Bloomberg
Risk Management Principles
Alf and Brent discuss the ECB and Bank of Canada cuts, and reflect on the big bond market moves seen recently coupled with carry trade implosions. The discussion focuses around risk management principles to prevent bad left tail outcomes when running carry trades, and how to identify positive expected value trades in macro.
Alf is offering a 2-weeks free trial to his institutional research: ping
Don't Make This Mistake
Free Trial to Alf's Institutional Research?
Ping Alfonso Peccatiello on Bloomberg for more info!
In this podcast, Alf invites Peter Farac (aka @countdraghula on Twitter) to the show.
Peter brings a wealth of experience running money and has specific skills in rates and vol markets.
Alf and Peter discuss where the US business cycle actually is, how markets are positioned, and talk shop: how do we
How Macro Traders Navigate Uncertainties
Want to meet Alf and Brent in person?! Fill in this 30-second survey so we can make this happen:
https://www.eSurveysPro.com/Survey.aspx?id=ad4fe049-95b7-40ef-a46b-f1bdc509b256
In this episode, Alf and Brent discuss how markets are becoming quickly complacent with realized and implied volatility collapsing across asset classes.
The only surprises are still coming from bond markets, while somethin
How To Trade Macro Now?
(Links mentioned in the podcast are in the show notes below: check them out!)
Alf and Brent discuss the soft patch the US seems to be going through and the CPI number released this week. If markets are going to continue with this low-vol grind higher, how do you trade macro now? Also, China seems to be cooking something big this time.
- Contact me (Alfonso Peccatiello) on Bloomberg to check out
Early Signs of Weakness
The Bank of England pre-announced a rate cut in June, the Swedish Riksbank cut interest rates, and there are a few early signs of weakness emerging in the US as well.
Is the market ready for a regime switch?
Alf and Brent also discuss how they approach trading into volatile events, breaking long-term correlation, and the structural USD strength.
Links mentioned in the show:
https://www.spectramar
A New Fed Put?
Descrizione: Nominal growth is showing some early signs of fatigue, while economists' expectations remain elevated and market pricing still quite hawkish. Alf and Brent discuss potential opportunities arising from this setup, and spend time arguing whether Powell just announced a new Fed Put this week.
Link to Brent's favorite podcast this week: https://pod.link/1594407589/episode/48072fb61a2a4c
A Contrarian Macro Thesis
US Q1 Real GDP printed below expectations but still at a respectable 1.6%, and core inflation was hotter than analysts forecast: more fuel on the fire of the reflation theme? Alf and Brent present a contrarian macro thesis instead, and also discuss the odds of a Chinese devaluation and more. Finally, they talk about the pros/cons of using stop losses in tactical macro trading. Enjoy the show!
What if Hikes are Stimulative?!
The Fed is all of a sudden opening up to the possibility of hikes: what now? But most importantly: have you ever thought about the possibility of Fed hikes being stimulative? And finally: do you have any idea why every Central Bank in the world is targeting exactly 2% for inflation?
Alf and Brent discuss this and much more in today's episode - have fun!
And also take a look at Brent's piece on saf
Yes, But What Will Break Markets?
This week Alf and Brent discuss how markets seem to be on the lookout for a release valve for the combination of a Fed talking about cuts while nominal growth doesn't call for them: commodiites, bond markets, and the US Dollar seem to be all brewing under the surface. But what will actually break markets?
The Next Big Trade?
Markets are in reflation mode with commodities getting bid all over the place: not only gold and crude oil, but also silver, copper, zinc, you name it. Also, the US Dollar is showing signs of topping and it all starts to closely remind one of the most volatile macro periods ever. So: what's the next big trade? Find out in the show!
Macro Traders Reflections
Alf welcomes back Brent to the show, and the co-host duo discusses macro data, Fed's Waller speech, Japan and China. But most importantly they share thoughts and observations about the current low volatility market regime, how to approach it trying to avoid the most common macro traders' mistakes, and how to think of risk/reward when looking at insurance trades.
Here are some non-trading and inve
Dario Perkins: These Central Banks Better Pivot Fast
This week Alf welcomes Dario Perkins to the show. Dario discusses how we got here with much more benign inflationary dynamics without a big damage to labor markets - hint: Central Bankers were lucky more than skilled. Dario and Alf discuss the path ahead for economies and monetary policy, and a trade idea. Alf opens and closes the show with his thoughts on the big Central Bank events of the week.
Volatility is Coming
The bond market is waking up to the idea that inflation might be a bit stickier and the Fed's hands are tied. Alf and Brent discuss what this implies for global macro asset classes, and highlight a few trade ideas.
Sign up for the free waiting list for Brent's upcoming Spectra School course: https://www.spectramarkets.com/school/
Animal Spirits Running Loose
Alf and Brent discuss how animal spirits seem to be running loose in several asset classes. Signs are evident not only in stocks but also in gold, Bitcoin and option markets. They also focus on Japan and the potential tectonic shifts in the Bank of Japan monetary policy stance.
Macro Opportunities Around The World
Alf and Brent discuss the outlook for the US economy, and how bond markets have adjusted their pricing to reflect the odds of a soft landing. Is there a trade maybe? They then move their focus to Canada, Europe, New Zealand, China: a tour around the world searching for macro opportunities. Two trade ideas and the most useful/stupidest thing they heard this week to top up the comeback episode of Th
It's Back!
The Macro Trading Floor is back! And there are quite some surprises...
This Is It
A last, fascinating tour across global macro asset classes before Alf and Andreas switch the lights off for a while. Want to keep up with Andreas and Alf’s macro views? You can keep up with Andreas through the brand new macro podcast called ‘Macro Sunday’ as well as through his research platform at www.stenoresearch.com, where you can currently get a 30% discount with the code ‘macro30’. Also re
The ECB Hikes As The Fed Pauses - Is This 2008 Again?
In this episode, Alf and Andreas discuss the decisions from the Fed, ECB and Bank of Japan. In a few episodes, The Macro Trading Floor is about to stop for a while: want to keep up with Andreas and Alf’s macro views? You can keep up with Andreas through the brand new macro podcast called ‘Macro Sunday’ as well as through his research platform at www.stenoresearch.com, where you can currently ge
It's All About Liquidity & Inflation Now
The debt ceiling soap opera is over and hence it’s time to rebuild the Treasury General Account - Alf and Andreas bust some of the myths around this topic, and discuss the real market implications out of this. They also look at inflation developments around the world, labor markets and conclude with some actionable investment ideas. If you enjoyed this episode and you want to read more macro anal
The AI 5 versus the S&P 495
Tech stocks are pushing stock indexes higher, with AI-related companies (NVIDIA?) leading the rally more decisively while the ''S&P 495'' doesn't join the party. Alf and Andreas discuss this trend, update us on the debt ceiling negotiations, and present some actionable trade ideas. If you enjoyed this episode and you want to read more macro analysis and investment strategy from Alf and Andreas yo
A Macro Trader Playbook with Jim Leitner
How does a professional macro investor think about a multipolar world where investment opportunities and challenges might lie outside the US and China? How does he manage risks, correlations and how does he go about finding new trade ideas and implementing them? Jim Leitner is one of the great long-standing macro investors of our time and he joins Alf on The Macro Trading Floor to answer these que
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