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UBS On-Air: House View

UBS On-Air: House View

Chief Investment Office 151 Episodes Jul 3, 2026

House View brings you daily, weekly, and monthly content covering our multi-asset views on economic trends and financial markets from the UBS Chief Investment Office.

Episodes

House View Daily | Consider broad commodity exposure in portfolios Jul 3, 2026 09:32 Despite the recent decline in commodity prices, we believe fundamentals should provide support in the coming months. We also believe broad commodity exposure offers diversification, inflation hedging, and downside protection in a portfolio context.
House View Daily | Warsh’s focus on price stability does not point to rate hikes Jul 2, 2026 09:19 Markets are looking to June’s payrolls today for clues on the Fed’s interest rate path after Chair Kevin Warsh offered little indication. We maintain the view that current market conviction around Fed rate hikes is too aggressive and see an opportunity to add to short- and medium-maturity quality bonds.
House View Daily | Stock outlook remains positive after a strong 2Q Jul 1, 2026 08:12 Global equities delivered a strong performance in the second quarter, and we think the momentum can continue in the coming months. The next phase of the rally should, in our view, see a broadening of market leadership.
House View Daily | Why the rotation into health care may have room to run Jun 30, 2026 08:14 Investors have shifted some capital back into health care amid tech sector volatility, seeking both stability and growth. Recent policy changes around GLP-1s and breakthrough therapies are fueling new optimism for the sector’s outlook in the coming months.
House View Daily | Monitoring AI risks amid volatility Jun 29, 2026 08:33 We continue to like the semiconductor complex of the AI story, but recent market volatility has pointed to certain risks worth monitoring. The key for investors remains diversification, both within and beyond AI.
House View Daily | Oil’s path is not a one-way Strait Jun 26, 2026 10:22 While oil may stay under pressure in the near term, we expect prices to recover over the coming months, as the normalization of traffic through the Strait of Hormuz and the recovery of shut-in production may prove slower than expected. We continue to see value in broad commodity exposure in a portfolio context.
House View Daily | Why gold could stage a rebound Jun 25, 2026 06:58 Gold has fallen to its lowest level in nearly eight months, but we think this offers an opportunity for underallocated investors to build strategic exposure. We believe the investment case for gold remains positive, as we believe the Fed is unlikely to raise rates in the near term, and the US dollar should weaken as the year progresses. Gold has also historically provided diversification benefits
House View Daily | Equities can move higher despite tech sell-off Jun 24, 2026 10:58 Risk sentiment weakened amid pressure on semiconductor stocks, but we believe the recent correction should be seen in the context of the strong rally in recent months. While we remain confident in the AI growth story, we also expect that the next phase of stock gains will come from a broader range of opportunities.
House View Daily | Why we think a Fed hike remains unlikely Jun 23, 2026 00:00 We view current market expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise rates in the near term as too aggressive, as inflation should moderate in the coming months, growth may soften, and broader changes at the Fed could slow down policy reaction. We continue to see an attractive risk-return profile for short- and medium-duration quality bonds.
House View Daily | Record equity issuance shouldn't be a headwind for equity markets Jun 22, 2026 00:00 The window has swung back open for new IPOs and secondary offerings, with share issuance likely to reach a record high in dollar terms this year. But we do not think this will be challenging to absorb given the growth of the overall equity market.
House View Daily | Why we believe equities can still move higher Jun 19, 2026 00:00 The AI rally has been one of the defining features of markets in the first half of the year. While we think it can drive further gains, we also believe the rally will continue to broaden across the rest of the market. We think investors should stay invested, while keeping diversification at the center of portfolio construction
House View Daily | Warsh era starts on a hawkish note Jun 18, 2026 00:00 The FOMC held the policy rate unchanged at 3.5-3.75%, but the combination of higher inflation projections, a hawkish distribution of rate forecasts, and the removal of forward guidance points to a restrictive-for-longer policy stance.

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