The Oracle by Polymarket Podcast
News and insights from the world's largest prediction market, Polymarket. The podcast covers topics related to prediction markets, politics, sports, and current events, providing analysis and commentary on market movements and outcomes.
Episodes
🔮 The F-35 Deal is Dead
Dean Blundell is a Canadian liberal muckracker, Substacker, and the host of the Dean Blundell podcast. We talk election night surprises, Pierre Poilievre’s journey from 92% favorite to losing his own seat, and what’s next for US-Canada economic and security relations under Carney.Timestamps:(00:00) Introduction(02:00) Election night surprises(03:59) Voting trends in Canada(07:55) Canadian real es
🔮 US-Iran Negotiations: Sina Toossi vs John Bolton
This episode is a mashup of two polar opposite views on the ongoing US-Iran negotiations (🔮 46% odds of a US-Iran deal this year). Sina Toossi, an Iran expert at the Center for International Policy, thinks the market is underrating chances for a breakthrough this year. Next, Ambassador John Bolton, a perma-hawk who served as National security Advisor in Trump’s first term, is optimistic about a qu
🔮 Mass Migration and Separatist Movements in Canada
Maxime Bernier is the founder of the People's Party of Canada (PPC) and former Minister of Foreign Affairs. Bernier is campaigning on an accommodating response to the Trump tariffs, restricting immigration to Canada, and an increase in military spending. On Polymarket, the PPC is currently projected to win zero seats in Monday's election. Follow Maxime on X: @MaximeBernierTimestamps:(00:00) Introd
Why Trump Wants The Panama Canal
🔮NEW: Oracle Podcast Feeds. We’re now distributing the podcast on YouTube, Apple, and Spotify. When you subscribe and drop a review / like / comment it will help us grow.👉 Subscribe on YouTube👉 Subscribe on Spotify👉 Subscribe on Apple PodcastsJohn Konrad is a former merchant marine captain and the founder of gCaptain, a news site covering shipping and global trade. In this episode we cover Trump t
🔮PODCAST: Tariffs Will Fail
🔮NEW: Oracle Podcast Feeds . We’re now distributing the podcast on YouTube, Apple, and Spotify. When you subscribe and drop a review / like / comment on one of those platforms it will help us grow and get more guests. 👉 Subscribe on YouTube👉 Subscribe on Spotify 👉 Subscribe on Apple PodcastsPorter Stansberry is the founder of Stansberry Research, one of the largest private financial publishers i
🔮 PODCAST: China Is Coming For Taiwan
Dmitri Alperovitch is the founder of cybersecurity firm Crowdstrike, Chairman of geopolitical think tank Silverado Policy Accelerator, and the author of World on the Brink: How America Can Beat China in the Race for the Twenty-First Century. In the forecasting community, Dmitri is legendary for his call of Russia's invasion of Ukraine two months before it happened. Timestamps:(00:00) Introduction(
🔮 PODCAST: Matthew Pines on Bitcoin UAPs and Seeing Around Corners
Thanks for reading The Oracle by Polymarket. Subscribe free to join 55,550 readers who trust markets, not experts.Matthew Pines is the Executive Director of the Bitcoin Policy Institute and an advisor to Skywatcher, a privately-funded UAP crash retrieval program. We talk: (2:30) How to spend time outside the Overton window to identify low probability, high impact events. (8:30) How UAPs moved from
🔮 PODCAST: Jeff Park on Prediction Markets and Radical Portfolio Theory
Jeff Park is the Head of Alpha Strategies at Bitwise, and the author of “Radical Portfolio Theory,” the case for a portfolio with 60% centralized state maximal assets, and 40% decentralized, private assets that are state power resistant.As part of the 40% “resistance” bucket, Jeff argues for an allocation to professional gambling, which could include things like sports betting, poker, and, yes, pr
🔮 PODCAST: Is Mike Johnson Cooked?
On Friday January 3rd the House of Representatives will vote to select the next Speaker. On Polymarket the odds for whether Johnson will be out as Speaker before inauguration sit at 12%.But a Substack post this morning by veteran reporter Chris Cillizza argued that these odds are too low and the current narrow Republican majority in the House makes it a real possibility that Johnson could face a s
Podcast: Jim Bianco on the Fed, Inflation and Trump's Cabinet Picks
Thanks for reading The Oracle by Polymarket. Subscribe free to join 30,535 readers who trust markets, not experts.Today we are publishing our first podcast, a conversation recorded Friday with Jim Bianco covering all things macro through the lens of Polymarket odds. We cover: * When Jim thinks the Fed's rate cutting cycle might end,* What Trump's tariffs might look like,* The odds for a US bank fa
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