Professor Jiang
Audio format of Predictive History YouTube videos by Professor Jiang Xueqin. Game Theory explores the future of global politics through the lens of data, geography, and historical patterns. Using minimalist map animations and strategic analysis, the channel breaks down complex geopolitical conflicts, military strategies, and resource competition to project where the world is heading next.
Episodes
Europe From Spectator to Front Line
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What happens when the next recession hits
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America’s Brutal Campaign Could Backfire
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Ukraine Is Already Lost
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War Incoming
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U.S. Rent Crash Has Begun
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Israel’s ‘Clean Break’ Strategy
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Recession Will Hit Here First
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Global Meet-Up #2 (Los Angeles) The End of the World US Tour
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The Cost Of Imperial Egoism
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Global Meet-Up #2 (New York City) The Eschatology of Capitalism
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The Useful Pawn
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Iran's Powerful Countermove
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Why the West Is Falling Apart
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The November Clock Trap
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U.S-Israel's Hidden Move
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China’s Indo-Pacific trap
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Imperial Overstretch
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Iran's Fatal Third Chokepoint
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America's Biggest Energy Nightmare
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Emergency Discussion: The Blackmailing of Spain
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Iran Just Used Chinese-Backed Defenses
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Iran Just Exposed Israel's Hidden Move
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Middle East Power Shift
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Iran’s Ruthless Blockade
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America's Next Move Could Turn the Iran War Into the Biggest Global Crisis
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Prepare for Holy War!
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The War You Can’t See
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Why They Can't Stop the Next War
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The West Will Burn! I Predict This Happens By 2030
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Emergency Discussion #1: Spain Wins World Cup, US Plans Ground Invasion of Iran
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Iran Just Exposed America’s Historic Blunder
Iran Just Exposed America’s Historic Blunder —Pushed China a Crucial Step AheadPlease consider making a small donation here: https://buymeacoffee.com/jiangprofessor
US-Iran War, World Cup
Live with Predictive History #2: US-Iran War, World CupDear listeners: Please consider making a small donation here: https://buymeacoffee.com/jiangprofessor
Global Meet-Up #1 (Tokyo) Japan's Geo-Political Outlook
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America Will Invade Iran Next!
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Substack Founding Members Livestream #2
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Dante #12 (Final)
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Dante #11
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Dante #10
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Dante #9
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Dante #8
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Dante #7
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Dante #6
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Dante #5
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Dante #4
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Dante #3
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Dante #2
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Dante #1 Paradise Cantos 1-5
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Dante #1
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Welcome to Boomer Hell
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Predictive History Founding Members #1
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Gay Talese's Sparks of Light
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Final Examination
Professor Jiang answers your questions.Please consider making a small donation here: https://buymeacoffee.com/jiangprofessor
Dante in Paradise
Professor Jiang explains how Dante re-animated the human imagination.Notes and References:1. Dante's Divine Comedy, translated by Alan MandelbaumPlease consider making a small donation here: https://buymeacoffee.com/jiangprofessor
Predictive History
Prpfessor Jiang synthesizes geopolitics, eschatology, and the mechanics of imperial decline into a unified framework. This lecture explores how these distinct academic and historical perspectives converge to shape modern international conflicts and global power structures.Please consider making a small donation here: https://buymeacoffee.com/jiangprofessor
Iran's Strategy Matrix
Professor Jiang explains to his Chinese high school students Iran's geo-political strategy. Because the United States has military dominance, Iran must conduct asymmetrical warfare, and ask four questions with all its actions:a.) Does this action make my population more confident and united?b.) Does this action help me consolidate trust and solidarity with my allies?c.) Does this action help m
Christian Zionism and the Middle East Conflict
Professor Jiang explains the origins and thinking of Christian Zionism, and how it is driving conflict in the Middle East.He argues that while most Christians consider Christian Zionism to heretical, it has the most potential to capture people's imagination due to the instability, uncertainty, and extremity of the times we live in today.Please consider making a small donation here: https://
How Empire is Destroying America
Professor Jiang explains to his Chinese high school students how empire is eroding the stability and vitality of the American Republic: From 1950-1980, America's manufacturing sector accounted for 40 percent of GDP, employed 30 percent of its workforce, and enjoyed 40 percent of total profits. Today, it's only 10 percent of GDP, and the financial services sector is ascendant. Financial ser
Saudi Arabia's Trump Card Against Iran
Professor Jiang explains to his Chinese high school students the rivalry between Iran and Saudi Arabia:At the beginning of 1979 Saudi Arabia and Iran were friendly with each other. Both were America-aligned oil-exporting monarchies. Iran’s Islamic Revolution was a political earthquake that promised to topple the entire Middle East political order. Ever since Saudi Arabia and Iran have been bitter
Why Trump Will Win
Professor Jiang explores who will win the US Presidential election in November: Joe Biden's 2020 coalition of college-educated professionals, minority voters, twenty-somethings, and suburbanites may not hold in 2024. Voters are upset about inflation, illegal immigration, and foreign policy direction.If Trump picks Nikki Haley to be his running mate, he has a very good chance of winning the sub
America's Imperial Hubris
Professor Jiang explains to his Chinese high school students the strengths and weaknesses of the American military doctrine "Shock and Awe":In 2003, the American military used a revolutionary military doctrine called "Shock and Awe" in its Operation Iraqi Freedom. "Shock and Awe" combined American air supremacy, technological omniscience, and special forces into a dea
Who Killed Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi
Professor Jiang examines if Iran President Ebrahim Raisi's death was an accident or an assassination: On May 19, Iran President Raisi's helicopter crashed into the mountains, killing all nine on board. Most experts believe it was a weather-related accident. There are skeptics who believed that powerful forces within Iran stood to gain from Raisi's death. Raisi was expected to become th
The Iran Trap
Professor Jiang explains that an American invasion of Iran would be a catastrophic mistake:If Trump were to win a second term, he would likely contemplate invading Iran. While an initial invasion would seem successful, American forces would quickly become bogged down in Iran's mountainous terrain. The American invasion would be similar to Athens' invasion of Sicily in 415 BCE, as described
Putin's War for the Soul of Russia
Professor Jiang explains why Putin is preparing to mobilize Russian society for total war:Putin's favorite philosopher Aleksandr Dugin believes that Russia and the West are fighting Samuel Huntington's War of Civilizations in Ukraine. What does he mean by this? In the late eighties, Francis Fukuyama published his "End of History?" essay, which argued that liberal democracy and co
Putin's Strategic Imagination
Professor Jiang explains Putin's strategic genius:In February 2022 Putin invaded Ukraine. At first, the war did not go well, and the United States had a three-point plan to defeat Putin:1.) Equip Ukraine to defeat the Russian army.2.) Sanction Russia, and cause it to economically implode.3.) Isolate Russia, and turn it into a pariah state.Today, we recognize that this strategy has failed, and
The Second American Civil War
Professor Jiang explores how and why America would fight a second Civil War:Right now, America is suffering three trends that make civil war more and more likely:a.) Increasing political polarization driven by the culture wars and inequality.b.) Breakdown of the narratives that bind America, especially the American Dream and liberalism. c.) Growing distrust of America's national institutions,
Psychohistory (The Science of Imagining the Future)
Professor Jiang Xueqin concludes his Geo-Strategy course by discussing how to use AI to chart a better future for humanity:In his Foundation series, Isaac Asimov introduces the science of psychohistory. Is it really possible to predict the future by mathematically modeling historical development?By mathematically modeling history, "Cliodynamics" has revealed interesting patterns. For exa
Explaining Humanity's Transition to Agriculture
Professor Jiang Xueqin explains why humans adopted agriculture.We now know that there were many consequences due to the transition to agriculture. Hunter-gatherers had an easier, more healthier, and less disease-prone life. So why did humans make this sacrifice? Though there are many explanations, most scholars believe that it was the religious impulse that drove humans to choose a sedentary life,
The Yamnaya Conquest of Europe
Homo sapiens originated in Africa 300,000 years ago, and for the vast majority of our history we were egalitarian, peaceful, and artistic. So where did concepts of patriarchy, war, and private property come from?The Yamnaya people are nomadic pastoralists who originated in the Eurasian Steppes. They worshipped the Sky Father, and excelled at waging war. Slowly, their culture spread throughout the
Elite Overproduction and the Bronze Age Collapse
Why the Bronze Age collapsed.In the year 1200 BCE the world was globalized and prosperous. Nations shared people, ideas, and goods. A few decades later, the Bronze Age collapsed. Mycenaean Greece and Hittite Anatolia were destroyed, and the Sea Peoples ravaged Egypt. Scholars disagree on what caused this collapse. Some argued it was a northern invasion, while others believed there was a cataclysmi
Homer's Iliad and the Birth of Greek Civilization
The Greeks were humanity's most creative civilization. Homer's Iliad and Odyssey are timeless classics, Plato's The Republic continues to inspire, and Thucydides are still read by military officers in search of strategic insights.Why were the Greeks so creative?After the destruction of Mycenaean Greece at the end of the Bronze Age, Greece became divided into thousands of diverse city-s
Rat Utopia and the Peloponnesian War
In his book The Peloponnesian War, Thucydides explains that the war started because Sparta saw Athens as a threat to its hegemony. In this talk Jiang Xueqin argues that the American scientist James Calhoun’s “rat utopia” experiments offer a better explanation. In the 1950s and 1960s James Calhoun conducted experiments in which colonies of rats were put into worlds of plenty and abundance. All thes
Aeschylus, Sophocles, and Euripides as Prophets of Democracy
What made Athenian democracy so strong and vibrant? Jiang Xueqin explains that theater taught Athenians how to be democratic citizens. The three major dramatists were Aeschylus, Sophocles, and Euripides. Aeschylus' Oresteia offered a mythology of democracy, showing that democracy was a gift from Athena herself, and that by practicing it well Athenians could make the whole world more just, fair
The Trial of Socrates and Plato's Allegory of the Cave
In 399 BCE the Athenian people condemned Socrates to drink hemlock. In this lecture to Chinese high school students, Jiang Xueqin examines the significance and legacy of the trial of Socrates. During his lifetime, Socrates enjoyed exposing Athens' leading intellectuals. He became so notorious that the satirist Aristophanes ridiculed him in a play. Socrates had many admirers though. A group o
The Greatness of Philip II of Macedon
In this talk Jiang Xueqin examines how Philip II of Macedon turned his kingdom from a poor and weak nation into the military hegemony that would conquer Persia. In his youth, Philip was a hostage at Thebes, where he studied the military innovations that made Thebes into the dominant military power in Greece at that time. He learned that with enough training and discipline, an army could achieve th
The Tyranny of Alexander the Great
We celebrate Alexander the Great as one of the greatest conquerors of history. What motivated him? Was he truly a strategic genius? What is his ultimate legacy?Professor Jiang Xueqin presents a revisionist understanding of Alexander the Great. He argues that Alexander was first and foremost motivated to prove he was better than his father. With his boundless ambition, he could not find peace unti
Aristotle and the Greek Legacy
Plato and Aristotle are considered the two most influential philosophers of Western antiquity. But there are three central paradoxes surrounding the life and work of Aristotle. He is considered a brilliant thinker, but we do not have any of his original writings. Over two hundred works are attributed to him, and the range of his works is extra-ordinary and super-human – he’s written about metaphys
Hannibal Barca, Lucius Brutus, and the Triumph of Rome
In 216 BCE, Hannibal Barca of Carthage defeated Rome at the Battle of Cannae. After three devastating defeats to Hannibal, Rome had lost twenty percent of its adult male population, and one-third of its Senate. The Roman Republic chose to continue fighting, and eventually it triumphed in the Second Punic War.Please consider making a small donation here: https://buymeacoffee.com/jiangprofessor
The Myth-Making Genius of Julius Caesar
Professor Jiang Xueqin examines the life and times of Julius Caesar. What motivated him? What made him so successful? Why was he assassinated? In 100 BCE, Julius Caesar was born into the "Imperial Republic" of Rome, a contradiction that led to inequality, corruption, and division. He came to believe he was a man of destiny who would restore the unity, stability, and prosperity of the Rom
Julius Caesar's Will and Octavian's Birth of Empire
In 44 BCE, an eighteen-year old Octavian arrived in Rome without an army and without political alliances, and seventeen years later he became Rome’s first emperor. How did he do it?Professor Jiang Xueqin explores and explains the birth of the Roman Empire. Julius Caesar saw himself as a man of destiny who would save the Roman Republic, a myth that was met with much skepticism in Rome. After he was
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