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Predictable with Stu Burguiere

Predictable with Stu Burguiere

Predictable Media 220 Episodes Oct 13, 2026

Predictable with Stu Burguiere is a news and politics podcast that uses prediction markets to analyze current events. Host Stu Burguiere breaks down what is happening in the news, why it is happening, and where things are likely headed next. The show aims to offer a smarter, more data-driven alternative to conventional punditry and hot takes. Episodes typically mix political commentary with market-based forecasting and listener-friendly analysis.

Episodes

What Midterm Money Movement Predicts About Upcoming Election Results
What Midterm Money Movement Predicts About Upcoming Election Results Oct 13, 2026 00:45:43 On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down the latest polling and markets on James Talarico and makes the case for taking the smart investment on the race as opposed to being led astray by emotion and fear. Then, a look into the GOP’s recent financial movement as certain races around the nation are stripped of cash while Elon Musk is making massive monetary injections in ce
Funding Your Prediction Market Wallet with the SENATE FANTASY LEAGUE
Funding Your Prediction Market Wallet with the SENATE FANTASY LEAGUE Oct 12, 2026 00:44:29 On today’s “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere explains how you can fill your prediction market wallet by joining and playing in our brand new Senate Fantasy League! Then, a new edition of “Predictable Postmortem” featuring Donald Trump’s new press secretary and the WNBA’s Sixth Player of the Year. And, Stu learns to hedge his life when it comes to the Philadelphia Eagles.
The Republican FREAK OUT Index
The Republican FREAK OUT Index Oct 8, 2026 00:45:37 On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down the states whose Republican Party should be freaking out the most about the upcoming midterm elections and outlines the criteria that will ultimately affect voter opinion the most. Then, David “Scottilicious” Bensoussan returns to the program to give an expert prediction market trader’s view on what to expect in November.
What the Polls and Prediction Markets Tell Us About the (Near) Future (Midterms)
What the Polls and Prediction Markets Tell Us About the (Near) Future (Midterms) Oct 7, 2026 00:45:17 On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down the most recent Senate and Gubernatorial polling for the upcoming midterms while comparing and contrasting how the data lines up with what the prediction market world is saying. Then, BlazeTV’s Steve Deace joins for an on-the-ground look at Iowa’s political situation and a more general conversation on November’s big election. Plus,
Does Abdul El-Sayad REALLY Have a Shot in Michigan Senate Race?
Does Abdul El-Sayad REALLY Have a Shot in Michigan Senate Race? Oct 6, 2026 00:44:36 On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere tallies up the most recent polls, prediction market data and breaking news to make a determination on whether or not Abdul El-Sayad REALLY has a shot at becoming the United States Senator from Michigan. Then, an extremely unique edition of “Candidate Countdown!” should make a few waves with the audience. Plus, an in-depth look at the biases th
There MIGHT Be Some Hope Left for GOP in the Midterms
There MIGHT Be Some Hope Left for GOP in the Midterms Oct 5, 2026 00:45:04 On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere looks into a few brand-new polls that might suggest Republicans have a few silver linings left in the black cloud that has become the 2026 midterms. Then, Stu examines an interesting new media strategy coming from Angela and Ken Paxton in Texas. Plus, today’s “Candidate Countdown” ventures into the bayou for a race out of Louisiana! And, Stu h
The UNDERCOVER Election: Party ID Goes ROGUE for the Midterms
The UNDERCOVER Election: Party ID Goes ROGUE for the Midterms Oct 1, 2026 00:44:31 On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere examines our unintentional theme from our shows this week: Republicans and Democrats seem to be running in record numbers as the opposite party or as straight-up independents. What could this mean for the integrity of our elections and what effect is it having on the prediction markets? Then, new economic polling could mean more trouble for th
The Latest Midterms RED ALERT Hits the GOP
The Latest Midterms RED ALERT Hits the GOP Sep 30, 2026 0:00 On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down the latest major warning sign for Republicans in the midterm elections and compares it to what the prediction markets are saying about November. Then, a new edition of “Candidate Countdown” focuses in on a small, but important, New Jersey House race. And Stu reacts to the news that Adam Kinzinger is being investigated for predictio
Oh Look, Another Race We Were TOTALLY Ahead of the Curve On!
Oh Look, Another Race We Were TOTALLY Ahead of the Curve On! Sep 29, 2026 00:45:46 On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere takes a look at the state of the midterm elections as we hit the five-weeks-away mark and breaks down some of the newest polling and prediction market info on the race for Los Angeles mayor between incumbent Karen Bass and Democratic Socialist Nithya Raman. Then, a new edition of “Candidate Countdown!” focusing on an independent in Nebraska. A
The Rise of the FAKE Independents & Senate Balance Check
The Rise of the FAKE Independents & Senate Balance Check Sep 28, 2026 00:44:23 On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere reveals the latest on his Predictable Midterm Consensus and breaks down what the Senate makeup could look like post-election season in November. Plus, an investigation into how so-called “Independent” candidates are affecting the polls in several states around the country. Then, Mick Bransfield of Kingston Chase Consulting joins for a look at
You Won’t Believe this MAJOR Twist in Critical Senate Race
You Won’t Believe this MAJOR Twist in Critical Senate Race Sep 24, 2026 00:45:15 On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down a crazy twist in one of this November’s major Senate races and theorizes on whether or not this show is cursed and responsible. Then, another edition of “Candidate Countdown!”... this time out of Illinois. And Brent Evans joins to talk about some of his favorite market investments involving the NFL and professional golf.
When Is the Right Time for MIDTERMS PANIC?!
When Is the Right Time for MIDTERMS PANIC?! Sep 23, 2026 00:44:16 On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere takes a logical and dispassionate look at the November midterms and zeroes in on which exact day is the right one for conservatives and Republicans to truly start panicking. Then, a new edition of “Candidate Countdown!” out of Alaska. And, Stu goes over a market he “kinda likes” regarding Nathen Fielder’s wild new documentary on Theranos found

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