The Big View
Reuters Breakingviews columnists tap their best contacts to explore the biggest issues driving business and markets today. Every Tuesday, Global Editor Peter Thal Larsen and his team tackle a pressing question with a senior executive, financier, policymaker, or other expert. The Big View helps you understand what is going on, explore all sides of the argument, and think about what happens next.
Episodes
Why battling climate change can be good for growth
It’s 20 years since the economist Nicholas Stern made the financial case for stopping global warming. Though temperatures have risen, green energy is cheaper. In this episode of The Big View, he tells Peter Thal Larsen that needed investments can boost the economy and the planet.
Nicholas Stern: “The Growth Stor
McKinsey’s CFO on the benefits and costs of AI
The global consulting firm is using artificial intelligence while advising clients on rolling it out. In this episode of The Big View, finance chief Yuval Atsmon talks to Peter Thal Larsen about taming token bills, the threat to jobs, and the new appeal of generalists.
The Big View: OpenAI’s curious business conundrum
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How a French building giant tackled fragmentation
The €40 bln Saint-Gobain counters geopolitical divisions by emphasising local management and production. In this episode of The Big View, CEO Benoît Bazin tells Peter Thal Larsen why the 361-year-old company can keep expanding, and which countries he is targeting next.
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Why central banks are key to electronic money
Technology true believers argue digital cash does not need an institutional backstop. In this episode of The Big View, Gaston Gelos of the Bank for International Settlements tells Peter Thal Larsen why stablecoins and other tokens still need central banks to work smoothly.
Bank for International Settlements: Anchoring trust in money: innovation beyond stablecoins
Bank of England: Sterling-deno
Does Elon Musk represent a new form of capitalism?
The SpaceX boss became the first trillionaire by defying business wisdom, upending financial standards and embracing far-right politics. On The Big View this week Peter Thal Larsen asks Quinn Slobodian, co-author of “Muskism”, whether Musk is a one-off or a model of the future.
Quinn Slobodian and Ben Tarnoff: "Muskism: A Guide for the Perplexed"
The Big View: Separating science fiction from
Why central bankers face an inflation reckoning
Ageing populations, indebted governments and geopolitical splits undermine price stability. That leaves independent central banks unanchored, say Charles Goodhart and Manoj Pradhan. On this episode of The Big View, the economists tell Peter Thal Larsen the status quo cannot last.
Charles Goodhart and Manoj Pradhan: “The Unanchored Central Banker: Demography, Fiscal Instability, and an Erosion o
One way to rethink economics for the better
Diagnosing malaise is easy; coming up with solutions is harder. Mariana Mazzucato, the academic and author of ‘The Common Good Economy’, argues for a wider approach to economic purpose. In this episode of The Big View, she tells Peter Thal Larsen how the discipline can improve.
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A stock market veteran’s view on the AI bubble
Jeremy Grantham’s investment firm GMO made its name betting against the mania of the late 1990s and the mid-2000s housing boom. In this episode of The Big View, he tells Peter Thal Larsen how artificial intelligence has forced Big Tech firms into a fight to the death.
Jeremy Grantham and Edward Chancellor: The Making of a Permabear: The Perils of Long-term Investing in a Short-term World
Brea
Buyout barons weather private turbulence
Breakneck growth for private equity and credit has led to worries of overheated dealmaking. In this episode of The Big View, Bain Capital Managing Partner David Gross tells Jonathan Guilford about what the industry did right and wrong, and where it might go next around the globe.
The Exchange, January 2024: Bain is keeping the private in private equity
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Separating science fiction from fact at SpaceX
Elon Musk’s rockets-to-AI venture is getting closer to a $1.8 trln IPO. In this episode of The Big View, astrophysicist Adam Becker, author of ‘More Everything Forever,’ tells Jeff Goldfarb about the folly of ascribing value to plans to put data centers in space or colonize Mars.
Adam Becker: More Everything Forever
Breakingviews: SpaceX’s $1.75 trln hope rests on Musk imagination
Podcast
Why rich societies became prosperous and anxious
In the developed world, many people are both better off and unsatisfied. On this episode of The Big View, Peter Thal Larsen talks to Ryan Avent, author of ‘In Good Faith’, about the eroding beliefs underpinning growth, and whether AI will force us to confront what progress means.
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Why the dollar could outlast the United States
The US inherited rather than invented its currency, argues Brendan Greeley, author of ‘The Almighty Dollar’. In this episode of The Big View he tells Peter Thal Larsen about the greenback’s origins and why its global appeal might survive American fiscal and military recklessness.
“The Almighty Dollar: 500 Years of the World’s Most Powerful Money”, by Brendan Greeley
The Big View: Global curre
Securing joined-up markets in a fractured world
Great power rivalry and upstart technology are testing financial infrastructure. In this episode of The Big View, Stephan Leithner, CEO of Deutsche Boerse, tells Peter Thal Larsen how the $58 bln exchange group is coping with volatility, and how the EU can become more autonomous.
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The Gulf energy crisis and the US-China showdown
Donald Trump’s war with Iran has exposed how much countries depend on oil and gas imports. In this episode of The Big View, Helen Thompson of Cambridge University tells Peter Thal Larsen how energy rivalry is shaping US foreign policy – and why the fault line runs through Europe.
Helen Thompson: “Disorder: Hard Times in the 21st Century”
The Big View: How the Strait of Hormuz changes economi
How the Strait of Hormuz changes economic warfare
By strangling the waterway, Iran retaliated against the US and eased some financial sanctions. In this episode of The Big View Edward Fishman, senior fellow of the Council on Foreign Relations, tells Peter Thal Larsen how American economic weapons have been turned against it.
The Big View, March 2025: Why financial warfare could backfire on the US
Edward Fishman: Iran is Using America’s Play
How ransomware took the world economy hostage
Online extortion has exploded into a multibillion-dollar global industry. On this episode of The Big View, Peter Thal Larsen talks to Anja Shortland of King’s College London about its rapid growth, fresh threats from AI, and the blurry line between cyber crime and cyber warfare.
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OpenAI’s curious business conundrum
The ChatGPT creator has 900 mln users and an $840 bln valuation, yet its financial future is unsure. On this episode of The Big View, Peter Thal Larsen and tech analyst Benedict Evans discuss why scale does not guarantee profit, and how previous breakthroughs captured value.
How will OpenAI compete?
OpenAI announcement
Breakingviews: What happens if OpenAI or Anthropic fail?
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Global currencies have a rich past and poor future
The Roman denarius and Florentine florin rose and fell with economic and military power. Will the US dollar face the same fate? In this episode of The Big View, Berkeley economist Barry Eichengreen tells Peter Thal Larsen why history suggests the greenback’s prospects are weak.
Money Beyond Borders: Global Currencies from Croesus to Crypto
The Big View: What could knock King Dollar off its thro
Donald Trump’s biggest trade shock is yet to come
The year since the US president’s ‘Liberation Day’ tariff war has produced many surprises. In this episode of The Big View, Peter Thal Larsen and IMD Business School’s Simon Evenett discuss why dire forecasts fizzled, how China levies fell to 26%, and why a larger jolt looms.
The Supreme Court Rules, Uncertainty by Design Remains – Global Trade Alert
Trade Redirection of Chinese Exports Duri
Why Africa’s growth prospects may be looking up
It’s easy to be glum about a continent grappling with US tariffs, cuts to aid, and climate change. Yet Joe Studwell, author of ‘How Africa Works’, says the conditions for development are in place. In this episode of The Big View, he tells Peter Thal Larsen why he’s optimistic.
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Why Japan’s revitalisation can overcome high debt
Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s new government can curb excess competition and speed industrial consolidation. On this episode of The Big View, Monex’s Jesper Koll tells Una Galani that borrowing will not rise, while higher interest rates will reshape equity markets.
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How AI shockwaves ripple through financial markets
Big Tech is splurging around $700 bln on artificial intelligence investments this year, while others are braced for disruption. In this episode of The Big View, Peter Thal Larsen talks to Andrew Sheets, Morgan Stanley’s head of fixed income research, about what happens next.
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Why the world economy will keep on fragmenting
Decades of economic cooperation are under threat from political division and military rivalry. In this episode of The Big View, Peter Thal Larsen talks to Eswar Prasad, author of ‘The Doom Loop’, about why integration went into reverse and whether the old system can be salvaged.
The Doom Loop: Why the World Economic Order is Spiraling into Disorder
Davos 2026: Special address by Mark Carney,
How to loosen China’s chokehold on rare earths
The People’s Republic dominates the supply of materials used in magnets, lasers and other high-tech products. In this episode of The Big View, Peter Thal Larsen talks to Mel Sanderson, a director of American Rare Earths, about how other governments can kick-start production.
IEA Global Critical Minerals Outlook 2025
Every mineral is critical in the new metals age
Trump admin to take 10% stake
How a Detroit firm is dealing with tariff turmoil
It’s almost 10 months since Donald Trump launched his trade war. In this episode of The Big View, Peter Thal Larsen talks to Mike Musheinesh, CEO of Detroit Axle, about how the auto parts distributor is coping with import uncertainty – and his decision to sue the US government.
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The murky economics and politics of Venezuelan oil
The US has long been interested in the South American country’s resources. Abducting its president opens a new and turbulent chapter. In this episode of The Big View Peter Thal Larsen talks to Ed Crooks, vice chair of energy research firm Wood Mackenzie, about what happens next.
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What investors can expect from markets in 2026
Stocks, bonds and commodities absorbed many shocks in 2025. Will they show the same resilience in the year ahead? In this episode of The Big View, Peter Thal Larsen and Anna Szymanski, editor-in-charge of Reuters Open Interest, debate inflation, AI, and the buy-the-dip mindset.
ROI: Reuters Open Interest.
Morning Bid podcast
Andy Home: Every mineral is critical in the new metals age.
Ron Bou
Private equity’s not-quite return to normality
Buyout barons suffered the whiplash of a post-pandemic boom and subsequent liquidity crunch. In this episode of The Big View, Jonathan Guilford talks to Thoma Bravo Managing Partner Seth Boro about how the firm is dealing with the fallout, even as AI once again upends the market.
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Judges under siege administer poetic justice
As Congress cedes power to the White House, US courts are filling some of the void. In this episode of The Big View, Jeffrey Goldfarb talks to Reynolds Holding, the author of ‘Better Judgment’, about the sense of purpose among jurists ruling on corporate and human-rights matters.
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The past and future fight about who owns the land
The world’s oldest asset is at the heart of political debate and underpins the modern financial system. In this episode of The Big View, Peter Thal Larsen talks to Mike Bird, author of “The Land Trap”, about why property is such an enduring issue – and why it’s so hard to reform.
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Pluses and minuses of the weight-loss drug bonanza
Obesity treatments made by Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly have spawned a healthcare revolution, with sales set to hit $150 bln by 2031. In this episode of The Big View, Peter Thal Larsen talks to Breakingviews Associate Editor Aimee Donnellan about their origins – and their impact.
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How globalisation set the stage for new strongmen
It’s a decade since the economist Branko Milanovic showed how China’s rise sparked a political backlash against free trade. In this episode of The Big View podcast, he tells Peter Thal Larsen that Donald Trump, Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin are more alike than they seem.
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The manifold benefits of giving away your riches
As disparities of wealth become more extreme, the well-off face mounting pressure to share in their good fortune. In this episode of The Big View podcast John Studzinski, the financier and philanthropist, talks to Peter Thal Larsen about the appeal of sharing income – and time.
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Peering behind the dark clouds over climate change
When UN delegates meet in Brazil to discuss global warming, the mood is likely to be sombre. In this episode of The Big View podcast, Peter Thal Larsen talks to Adair Turner, chair of the Energy Transitions Commission, about the scope for progress in pricing and capturing carbon.
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What financial history tells us about the AI boom
The investment pouring into artificial intelligence evokes comparisons with previous speculative bubbles. In this episode of The Big View, Peter Thal Larsen talks to Edward Chancellor, the author and financial historian, about which warning signs investors should look out for.
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The coming battle over the future of money
Bitcoin has been around for over a decade. Now new US rules have pushed digital tokens into the mainstream, forcing central banks and private lenders to react. In this episode of The Big View, Peter Thal Larsen talks to the investor and writer Felix Martin about what’s happening.
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How climate and innovation are changing insurance
Costly natural disasters are more prevalent, while technology allows insurers to pinpoint risks more precisely. In this episode of The Big View podcast Peter Thal Larsen talks to Mario Greco, CEO of Zurich Insurance, about how the $100 bln Swiss group is navigating the landscape.
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How to use frozen Russian assets to help Ukraine
Western countries hold $300 bln in cash and bonds owned by Moscow’s central bank. EU leaders have endorsed lending them to Kyiv. On this episode of The Big View podcast Reuters Commentator-at-Large Hugo Dixon, an early advocate of the idea, tells Peter Thal Larsen how it works.
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Lessons from Nissan on surviving carmageddon
Donald Trump’s tariffs dent the Japanese carmaker’s largest market and Chinese rivals are expanding as it attempts a turnaround. On this episode of The Big View podcast, CFO Jérémie Papin explains what he’s learned about running a global company while facing multiple challenges.
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Why technological progress is so hard to predict
New inventions often cause great excitement yet can take years to catch on. In this episode of The Big View podcast, Peter Thal Larsen talks to Carl Benedikt Frey of Oxford University about the erratic history of technology – and what it tells us about artificial intelligence.
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Private equity sets its sights on the little guy
Apollo, Blackstone and KKR raised billions from deep-pocketed institutions for buyouts and private credit. Now they’re targeting the $145 trln held by individuals. In this episode of The Big View podcast, iCapital CEO Lawrence Calcano explains the opportunities – and the risks.
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What China has to teach the US about technology
The world’s two biggest economies are going head-to-head on everything from cars to chips. In this episode of The Big View podcast, Peter Thal Larsen talks to the author and analyst Dan Wang about how the People’s Republic developed, and what the US can learn from its rise.
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The lost lessons from history’s economic mistakes
Donald Trump’s tariff policy threatens to make Americans poorer while failing to bring back lost manufacturing jobs. In this episode of The Big View podcast, author Philip Coggan explores the parallels with Britain’s foolish return to the gold standard a century ago.
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The perks and penalties of waging economic war
Tariffs and sanctions have roiled markets, but states can spur new industries. In this episode of The Big View podcast Daleep Singh, former US deputy national security adviser and chief global economist at PGIM Fixed Income, explores the new world investors must navigate.
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How global tensions are unsettling markets
Investors face a daily barrage of tariffs, sanctions and conflict. In this episode of The Big View podcast, Anna Rosenberg of Amundi explains how money managers deal with this uncertainty, and how the power rivalry between the US and China is upending economic trade-offs.
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What really has gone wrong with global capitalism
From New York’s mayoral race to Jeff Bezos’ wedding party, critics of the economic system abound. But few can agree on solutions. In this episode of The Big View podcast, author and investor Ruchir Sharma argues the problem is big government, entrenched companies, and cheap debt.
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Why Trump’s trade assault will fail and keep going
US trade partners are bracing for another presidential tariff deadline. In this episode of The Big View podcast, Richard Baldwin of IMD Business School explains why hostility to US imports is now a bipartisan issue, and why the global trading system can survive Trump’s onslaught.
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Why robotaxis are picking up speed and credibility
Enthusiasts have long claimed driverless cars are around the corner. As they hit the streets from the West Coast to Wuhan, the business model is taking shape too. In this episode of The Big View podcast, James Peng, CEO of $6 bln industry pioneer Pony AI, explains what’s changed.
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The wobbly foundations of the stablecoin boom
US lawmakers endorsed digital tokens backed by dollars like Tether and USDC, collectively worth $250 bln. In this episode of The Big View podcast, banks analyst and author Dan Davies explains the risks of mingling supposedly solid crypto assets with the regulated banking system.
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Private equity’s nightmare on Main Street
A spate of books chronicling the industry’s harmful economic effects are exacerbating its financial quandaries. In this episode of The Big View podcast, ‘Bad Company’ author Megan Greenwell discusses how buyout shops dash the American dream, and ways to thwart them from doing so.
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How the EU can respond to US economic warfare
As President Donald Trump threatens tariffs, Brussels is also worrying about Washington using sanctions against it. In this episode of The Big View podcast, Agathe Demarais of the European Council on Foreign Relations talks about how the bloc should deploy its own weapons.
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How Apple’s China celebration became a conundrum
Factories and consumers in the People’s Republic helped turn the iPhone maker into a $3 trln giant. Now geopolitical tensions are straining the relationship. In this episode of The Big View podcast, ‘Apple in China’ author Patrick McGee explains why there’s no easy way out.
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Europe’s self-defence is battle on multiple fronts
Leaders are scrambling to shore up defences against Russia while also becoming less dependent on the US. In this episode of The Big View podcast, Bruegel Senior Fellow Guntram Wolff talks about the need for a joint European body to make the increase in spending more effective.
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Why US-China decoupling will be hard to reverse
Trade between the two economies is collapsing. In this episode of The Big View podcast, Christopher Beddor of Gavekal explains where relations could be repaired, where they could deteriorate further, and why Washington and Beijing may tacitly agree on the need to pull apart.
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What Trump’s tariff tantrum will do to world trade
The White House is negotiating with trading partners while US-China commerce seizes up. In this episode of The Big View podcast, Professor Simon Evenett of IMD Business School explains how the tense discussions might play out, and where they will leave the global trade system.
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The theory and practice of Trump’s economic policy
The president’s tariffs have wreaked havoc in financial markets. Beneath the short-term turmoil, though, are more fundamental woes. In this episode of The Big View podcast, Edward Chancellor describes how the US became a bubble economy, and why deflating it is so dangerous.
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What could knock King Dollar off its throne
The world’s dominant currency has survived devaluation, inflation, war, and many crises. US President Donald Trump’s return raises new doubts. In this episode of The Big View podcast, Paul Blustein talks about the secrets of the greenback’s success – and what could end its reign.
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Market turmoil rewrites the lessons of investing
From the crisis of 2008 to the pandemic to Trump’s tariffs, governments and central banks have influenced asset prices. In this episode of The Big View podcast Mark Haefele, chief investment officer of UBS’s wealth management unit, talks about the stark message for investors.
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Plugging the gaping holes in economic data
Measuring growth requires reliable information about an economy’s output. But the established methods are hopelessly out of date. In this episode of The Big View podcast, economist Diane Coyle discusses ways in which statistics could be improved, and why change is so hard.
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What investment firms can teach us about AI
Though artificial intelligence seems new, fund managers have used it to spot patterns for years. In this episode of The Big View podcast, Gary Collier, chief technology officer of Man Group, talks about the surprising lessons he’s learned and debunks some common AI tropes.
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Why financial warfare could backfire on the US
Washington has sharpened the dollar and technology into powerful weapons. Now erstwhile allies fear they are targets. In this episode of The Big View podcast Edward Fishman, the author of ‘Chokepoints’, explains how economic interdependence is increasingly at odds with security.
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The debit and credit of the private lending boom
Loans supplied by funds have swelled to some $2 trln, disrupting regular banks. In this episode of The Big View podcast, Huw van Steenis of Oliver Wyman explores the drivers of the industry’s rapid growth, how much bigger it could get, and what risks it might be storing up.
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How to sort winners from losers in AI’s civil war
Some advocates believe artificial intelligence is poised to surpass human capabilities. Others see it more as a powerful problem-solving tool. In this episode of The Big View podcast, Felix Martin explores the implications of the diverging views for investors and economists.
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How to navigate Trump’s trade wars
The US president has slapped tariffs on Mexico, Canada, steel, aluminium, and is threatening more. Few have come into force, though. In this episode of The Big View podcast, Sam Lowe of Flint Global explains the different types of levies, and what they mean for global trade.
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The long haul to reviving Britain’s economy
Productivity has slowed, real wages are stagnant, and investment has dried up. The new UK government also faces high debt and rising interest rates. In this episode of The Big View podcast, newly appointed minister Torsten Bell makes the case for radical but incremental change.
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How US presidents imposed their will on CEOs
Tycoons like Jeff Bezos and Mark Zuckerberg bent the knee to Donald Trump. They’re not the first to bow to the Oval Office. In this episode of The Big View podcast, former White House aide Tevi Troy explores the shifting balance of power between corporate and political leaders.
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The economics of war and peace in Ukraine
It’s almost three years since Russia invaded, unleashing death and devastation. In this live edition of The Big View podcast, economist and former minister Tymofiy Mylovanov talks about the damage to both sides, the effect of sanctions, and what a peace deal might look like.
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Donald Trump’s return reverberates beyond the US
The immediate effects of the president’s second term will be felt at home. But he’s also upending parts of the US-led order. In this episode of The Big View podcast, Reuters Commentator-at-Large Hugo Dixon discusses relations with Europe, rivalry with China, and climate change.
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Huawei is a microcosm of China’s last four decades
Since its founding in 1987 the tech giant has learned from Western rivals, expanded overseas, and is now on the front lines of a new Cold War. In this episode of The Big View podcast Eva Dou, author of ‘House of Huawei’, explains how the secretive firm became a national champion.
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Why private credit is shrinking as it booms
Non-bank lenders, sitting atop $2 trln in assets, keep taking more of the market away from the traditional titans of Wall Street. Yet the industry is now rapidly consolidating. In this episode of The Big View podcast, Marc Lipschultz, co-CEO of Blue Owl Capital, explains why.
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How the world could unplug from China’s batteries
International cell makers are struggling to compete with Chinese giants like CATL. But innovations like solid-state batteries could upend the industry in the not-too-distant future. In this week’s episode of The Big View podcast, QuantumScape CEO Siva Sivaram explains how.
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Why central banks were both lucky and smart
Policymakers in major economies have quelled the post-pandemic inflation surge without causing recessions. In this episode of The Big View podcast, BlackRock’s Alex Brazier argues big rate hikes in the US, Europe and the UK helped – but so did unusually strong labour markets.
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A financial historian’s warning about the AI boom
Artificial intelligence hopes have unleashed an investment frenzy, propelling chip giant Nvidia’s value to $3.5 trln. In this episode of The Big View podcast, mathematician Andrew Odlyzko explores parallels with the 1990s dotcom bubble and Britain’s railway mania of the 1840s.
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Ireland’s $25 bln tax bounty reveals OECD flaws
Dublin expects a record budget surplus in 2024 thanks to a cash deluge from tech giants. In this episode of The Big View podcast, Pascal Saint-Amans, the architect of a landmark tax 2021 treaty, explains how the US’s failure to ratify the deal allows havens to rake in billions.
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The power and peril of American economic warfare
Successive US presidents have wielded sanctions and export controls against rival nations. Donald Trump promises further escalation. In this episode of the Big View podcast, political scientist Henry Farrell explains how weaponizing finance and technology can be self-defeating.
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Making sense of China’s big economic reboot
Officials have taken dramatic steps to boost confidence and growth in the world’s second-largest economy. In this episode of The Big View podcast, Arthur Kroeber, head of research at Gavekal, explains why he sees the People’s Republic turning into a high-tech, low-growth country.
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How the US election affects the rest of the world
Next week, voters will choose between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. Their decision will impact governments, companies and investors outside the US. In this episode of The Big View podcast, geopolitical strategist Tina Fordham explains why markets misjudge the possible turmoil.
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Why brewers are betting big on alcohol-free beer
Consumers are shunning booze due to health concerns and shifting tastes, forcing beermakers to adapt. In this episode of the Big View podcast Louise Fitzpatrick, an executive at the Dutch brewer Heineken, explains the opportunities and challenges of selling suds without alcohol.
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Why data centres are a bottleneck for the AI boom
Artificial intelligence tools like ChatGPT depend on chips and energy. But a $1 trln rush to build data centres faces constraints on planning and power. In this episode of The Big View podcast, Morgan Laughlin of asset manager PGIM explains the virtual frenzy’s physical limits.
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Decoding the puzzle of SoftBank’s Masayoshi Son
The Japanese tycoon shaped global technology while building and losing vast fortunes. How does he keep going? In the first episode of Breakingviews’ new podcast, The Big View, former FT editor Lionel Barber discusses what he uncovered in his biography of Son, ‘Gambling Man’.
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