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Carnegie Politika Podcast

Carnegie Politika Podcast

CarnegiePolitika.org 87 Episodes Oct 1, 2026

The Carnegie Politika Podcast delivers world-class analysis on what’s happening in Russia, Ukraine, and Eurasia. Every month, Russia expert Alexander Gabuev talks to Carnegie scholars and regional analysts on the ground to respond to emerging regional trends, the future of Russian geopolitics, and how the region is shaping the world.

Episodes

What Happened in Russia’s 2026 Parliamentary Elections?
What Happened in Russia’s 2026 Parliamentary Elections? Oct 1, 2026 00:32:05 Russia embarked on its first parliamentary elections since the full-scale invasion of Ukraine with ramped up repression and an emptied political space amid the ongoing war. Even so, these tightly controlled elections did not go exactly according to plan. What do the results mean? How important are elections in the current Russian political system? What’s different in the newly elected Duma.Check o
How Is Finland Managing the Russia Threat?
How Is Finland Managing the Russia Threat? Sep 17, 2026 00:40:38 Shortly after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Russia’s northern neighbors—Finland and Sweden—decided to join NATO in order to strengthen their security vis-a-vis a belligerent Moscow. In the fifth year of the Russia-Ukraine war, the risks are nevertheless on Europe's doorstep, and some argue that Russia may even launch a kinetic attack against its neighbors in the not-so-distant f
The SCO at 25: A Eurasian Colossus or Anti-American Talk Shop?
The SCO at 25: A Eurasian Colossus or Anti-American Talk Shop? Sep 3, 2026 00:28:03 Despite its public image as a Sino-Russian answer to NATO, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) is a very different beast. Each member state has its own reason for being part of such a vast organization. China uses it as a means of exerting influence, Russia uses it as a tribune for its foreign policy squabbles with the West, and Central Asian countries see it as a source of power and also
Inside Putin’s War Recruitment Machine
Inside Putin’s War Recruitment Machine Jul 30, 2026 00:44:01 Amid mounting rumors that a new mobilization wave in Russia will follow the State Duma elections in September, there are a lot of questions over Russian military recruitment. How successful is it? How deep is the well of Russian manpower, and what are the Kremlin’s most efficient tools for tapping into it? How can independent experts outside of Russia access and credibly analyze recruitment data i
What Is the Future of NATO?
What Is the Future of NATO? Jul 16, 2026 00:34:49 Since Donald Trump's return to the White House, NATO’s European members have had to adjust to and navigate the new U.S. approach to defense, with the withdrawal of troops from Europe, decreased military support for Ukraine, and changing attitudes toward European security overall. Given the United States’ volatile relationships with its allies, how can European capitals reorganize and restructure a
Has Ukraine Dealt a Lethal Blow to the Russian Oil Sector?
Has Ukraine Dealt a Lethal Blow to the Russian Oil Sector? Jul 2, 2026 00:34:50 Following waves of Ukrainian attacks against energy infrastructure in 2024 and 2025, Russia managed to recover quickly. But the most recent drone strikes on Russian refineries were more calculated and impactful. Are they enough to finally topple the goliath of Russian oil revenues that has fed the Russian war machine? What tools does the Kremlin have to mitigate the looming fuel crisis? Will gasol
Why Armenia Voted For a Pro-Europe Future
Why Armenia Voted For a Pro-Europe Future Jun 18, 2026 00:33:43 While Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan campaigned on a pro-Europe platform in the pivotal vote, the opposition wanted to see the country take a more pro-Russia course. Despite clumsy Russian attempts to influence the outcome of the elections, Pashinyan was victorious. What does his win mean for Armenia, the ongoing peace process between Armenia and Azerbaijan, and Russia’s ability to projec
Russia’s Changing Security Environment
Russia’s Changing Security Environment Jun 4, 2026 00:26:16 The war in Ukraine has fundamentally altered the strategic environment for Russia on its western border. The conflict has expanded the line of contact with NATO and the alliance’s partners in Ukraine, and it now stretches all the way from the Arctic Ocean to the Black Sea. The nature of the relationship has also changed profoundly, with NATO viewing Russia as a generational threat, and Ukraine eme
After Putin’s Visit to China, What Next?
After Putin’s Visit to China, What Next? May 21, 2026 00:30:47 Putin’s Russia has always been China’s pragmatic junior partner while trying to balance its dependency on Beijing, but since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the relationship has become ever more tilted in China’s favor. What are the current dynamics between the two countries, how is China promoting its interests, and what have Putin and Trump’s recent visits to Beijing changed in China’s
Is NATO Misreading Putin’s Risk Appetite?
Is NATO Misreading Putin’s Risk Appetite? May 7, 2026 00:57:02 As the conflict between the West and Putin’s Russia escalates without guardrails, would the Kremlin dare to launch a military incursion into NATO territory in coming years? With the mercurial Donald Trump at the helm of NATO’s most consequential power, how might NATO react to an attack against a member state? These were the questions addressed in a German war game, Ernstfall, co-hosted by Die Welt
Will There Be a New Pro-Russia Force in Europe After Orban?
Will There Be a New Pro-Russia Force in Europe After Orban? Apr 23, 2026 00:35:13 Viktor Orban was one of the most prominent Russia supporters in Europe, blocking aid to Ukraine and trying to soften EU sanctions against Russia. Now that he is gone, will there be a drastic change in Hungary's foreign policy and relations with Moscow? Was Russia able to influence EU policy at all through Hungary? And what can be expected of the new Russia-sympathetic government of Rumen Radev in
What’s the Future of U.S.-Russia Arms Control?
What’s the Future of U.S.-Russia Arms Control? Apr 9, 2026 00:39:56 On February 5, the last remaining nuclear arms control treaty between the United States and Russia, the New START, expired. Absent this or a similar agreement, the world is a more dangerous place—particularly given the nuclear buildup in China, proliferation and rapid evolution of military technologies, and ongoing wars in Ukraine and the Middle East. Still, Rose Gottemoeller, who was the lead U.S

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