Street Talk
Nathan Stovall, director of financial institutions research at S&P Global Market Intelligence, takes a deep dive into issues facing financial institutions and the investment community. Tune in for interviews with industry insiders as well as brief outlooks for the banking sector.
Episodes
Ep. 150 - 12 words for community banks to live by
In banking, boring wins, according to veteran bank investor Joe Stieven. The CEO of Stieven Capital Advisors discussed what drives value and how community banks will remain relevant over the next decade at S&P Global Market Intelligence's annual community bankers conference. The investor said his 12-word philosophy has guided decades of capital allocation through COVID, rate cycles, Silicon Valley
Ep. 149 - Dr. George Friedman sees old alliance as obsolete, new bilateral order as U.S. shifts from Europe to China
The post-WWII global order is entering a new era. In the episode recorded live at the S&P Global Market Intelligence's Annual Community Bankers Conference on May 6, geopolitical strategist and author Dr. George Friedman discusses the conflicts between the U.S. and Iran, and Russia and Ukraine, how America reinvents itself through instability, and the pivotal U.S.-China summit on May 14. Dr. Friedm
Ep. 148 - Banks, AI and the not so "hidden" exposure to private credit
A few blips tied to private credit and loans to nonbank financial institutions have weighed on the bank group recently and come at the same time at the group faced pressure over concerns that greater adoption of artificial intelligence could threaten many traditional jobs and ultimately lead to higher levels of unemployment. However, some bank analysts argue that both issues might be overblown and
Ep. 147 - KBW CEO sees M&A reboot, green lights for regional bank valuations
After years of trading at the steepest discount in the broader market—dead last among all major sectors—the banking industry is finally positioned to narrow that gap, according to KBW CEO Tom Michaud. In the episode, Michaud said that the best fundamental environment in years, historic levels of excess capital, a once in generational change in the regulatory environment and rebounding M&A activit
Ep. 146 - Strong fundamentals, increasing M&A activity set the table for small cap bank stocks
While large bank stocks have significantly outperformed their smaller counterparts over the last few years, the tide could finally be turning, according to Jonah Marcus, partner and portfolio manager at Endeavour Capital Advisors, Inc. In the episode, Marcus said there are positive tailwinds for the banking sector, including increasing bank M&A activity, net interest margin expansion and deregulat
Ep. 145 - Bank stocks are divorced from fundamentals
Bank stocks are trading at their cheapest levels relative to the broader market in a decade, but a confluence of catalysts, including rebounding M&A activity, deregulation and rate cuts by the Federal Reserve could finally unlock value for the sector, according to Mendon Capital's Anton Schutz Sr. and Anton Schutz Jr. In the episode, the father-son investment team discuss the current state of bank
Ep. 144 - Decoding banks' third-quarter earnings and rebounding M&A activity
Despite ongoing economic uncertainty and investors' concerns about potential slippage in credit quality, U.S. banks delivered strong third-quarter results that beat expectations across the board. In the episode, Chris Nichols, Director of Capital Markets at South State, discusses third-quarter earnings trends, including the continued resilience of consumer spending, the stabilization of credit qua
Ep. 143 - Stablecoins vs. traditional banking: Who wins the battle for depositors?
The world of cryptocurrencies has seen no shortage of upheaval, but regulatory clarity that has arrived with recent legislation is expected to lead to greater adoption of stablecoins. Some market participants and banks are worried the growth could lead to deposit cannibalization. In the episode, S&P Global Market Intelligence fintech analysts Jordan McKee and Sampath Sharma, and FIG Research Head
Ep. 142 - Despite looming rate cuts, strong deposit franchises still take the cake
While peak funding costs are in the rearview mirror, investors and bank acquirers continue to assign higher values to institutions with lower-cost deposit franchises. In the episode, S&P Global Market Intelligence analysts Nathan Stovall and Zain Tariq discuss which banks have the strongest deposit franchises, what attributes they have and how deposits continue to drive valuation in the banking se
Ep. 141 - Signs of stronger bank M&A emerge as serial acquirers, large transactions return
Bank M&A activity is showing signs of life, and a much awaited rebound in bank deal activity could be in store. In this episode, Christopher Olsen, managing partner at Olsen Palmer, shared his view of the bank M&A market and why community banks are selling at this point in the cycle. The veteran deal adviser said shareholder liquidity, and board and management succession remain significant drive
Ep. 140 - InterBank CEO C.K. Lee talks keys to high performance, producing a 3-plus% ROAA
InterBank President and CEO C.K. Lee runs one of the highest-performing banks in the country. The $4.7 billion, Oklahoma City-based bank has produced a pretax return on average assets of 3.30% or higher in each of the last five quarters and an S-Corp. adjusted ROAA of 2.60% or higher during each of those periods. The latter is more than 2x the ROAA generated by the community bank aggregate during
Ep. 139 - Balance sheet, M&A and capital raising strategies for a volatile environment
Bank advisers and market participants at S&P Global Market Intelligence's annual community bankers conference said bank M&A and IPO activity is in a holding pattern and will pick up once there is greater clarity over the macroeconomic and interest rate environment. They also suggested that banks should avoid trying to position their balance sheets for particular rate moves and instead prepare for
Ep. 138 - Assessing the impact of tariffs on US banks
The emergence of tariffs led to a broad selloff of US banks amid fears of slower economic growth or even a possible recession. Banks' first-quarter earnings season showed strong performance before the onset of tariffs, but ultimately might have left investors with more questions than answers. In the episode, senior reporter Harry Terris shared the key takeaways from large banks' first-quarter resu
Ep. 137 - Two top community bank performers share their special sauce
Each year, S&P Global Market Intelligence ranks top-performing financial institutions in the following categories: community banks $3 billion to $10 billion in assets, community banks with less than $3 billion in assets, credit unions will more than $100 million in assets, and the top largest U.S. public banks by total assets. In another installment of Tales from Top Performers, executives from tw
Ep. 136 – An activist's view of the banking industry
Activist investor John Palmer sees plenty of catalysts for bank stocks, including stronger fundamentals, attractive valuations and a resurgence in M&A activity among regional and community banks. In the episode, Palmer, principal and managing member at PL Capital, discussed his firm's investment approach, its successful history in running proxy campaigns and how its interactions with bank manageme
Ep. 135 - Takeaways from AOBA: Heavy dose of optimism as the deal window is open
The bank advisory community is optimistic that bank M&A activity will rebound in 2025 and they should be, according to Mercer Capital Managing Director Jeff Davis. In the episode, Davis discussed his takeaways from the annual Acquire or Be Acquired Conference, where scores of advisers shared their viewed for M&A activity to be materially stronger this year. Davis also discussed the improving funda
Ep. 134 - KBW CEO says bank stocks still have room to run
Investors have flocked back to the bank group over the last five months as the fundamental environment has improved and the election results in November added legs to the rally, according to KBW CEO Tom Michaud. In the episode, Michaud discussed improving investor sentiment toward the U.S. bank space, his firm's expectation for banks' earnings and credit quality in 2025 and 2026, and the outlook f
Ep. 133 - Six reasons for a brighter bank M&A outlook
The bank M&A pipeline has improved significantly over the past month, and capital is available for institutions looking to grow amid the surge in investor interest in the banking sector, according to Bill Burgess, co-head of financial services investment banking at Piper Sandler. In the episode, Burgess said there are six factors contributing to renewed interest in bank deals, particularly follow
Ep. 132 - How the 2024 election could reshape bank regulation and M&A
The U.S. election could change the legislative, supervisory and regulatory framework for the banking industry. In the episode, we discuss what different election outcomes could mean for banks with three guests focused on policy, regulation and rulemaking: Paul Merski, executive vice president, congressional relations and strategy at the Independent Community Bankers of America; Naomi Camper, chief
Ep. 131 - Bank boards capitulating, pushing for scale to combat challenges
The operating environment remains challenging for many banks but experts at Raymond James' annual whole loan conference in September 2024 noted there is a growing acceptance and willingness to pursue deals to counter headwinds facing the group. In the episode, three veterans at Raymond James – John Toohig, head of whole loan trading; Bill Sammon, head of financial services capital markets; and Bo
Ep. 130 - How threatened are US banks by the wave of commercial real estate maturities
Rate hikes by the Federal Reserve and changes in post-pandemic behavior have put pressure on commercial real estate (CRE) borrowers needing to refinance loans coming due. The tally is nothing to sneeze at, with approximately $950 billion in CRE mortgages set to mature in 2024, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence's analysis of nationwide property records. In the episode, S&P Global Market I
Ep. 129 - Investor sees inflection point in bank stocks
Bank stocks and regional bank stocks in particular have rallied over the last month and there is further room to run, according to Joe Fenech, Chief Investment Officer at GenOpp Capital Management. In the episode, recorded on July 16, Fenech said that sentiment towards bank stocks is improving and that the long bear market in bank stocks ended in May 2023. The investor argued that the recapitaliza
Ep. 128 - Tales from Top Performers: South Plains Financial, Stellar Bancorp and City Holding Co.
Tales from Top Performers features conversations with executives at high-performing banks about their view of current issues, and the greatest challenges and opportunities they see ahead. This episode features executives from three of the highest performing banks in the country: Curtis Griffith, chairman and CEO of Lubbock, Texas-based South Plains Financial; Paul Egge, CFO of Houston-based Stella
Ep. 127 - The knife fight for deposits could spur more bank deals
Deposits and liquidity remain at the forefront for most bankers and the intense competition for core funding will eventually lead to a resurgence in M&A activity. That was the message delivered by a variety of presenters at S&P Global Market Intelligence's annual community bankers conference on May 20 and 21, but they acknowledged that transactions face some challenges in the near term, including
Ep. 126 - Hunting the bears, making the bull case for CRE
The investment community has expressed great concern over commercial real estate and questioned whether a severe downturn could lie on the horizon, but Rich Hill, head of real estate strategy and research at Cohen & Steers, is not in the camp. In the episode, Hill discussed the misconceptions about commercial real estate, the considerable differences in risk across various subcategories and how pu
Ep. 125 - Tales from Top Perfomers: Five Star Bancorp CEO
Tales from Top Performers is a new series under the Street Talk banner that will feature conversations with executives at high-performing banks about their bank and experience in the sector; their view of current issues, and the greatest challenges and opportunities they see ahead. The inaugural episode features a discussion between James Beckwith, CEO of Rancho Cordova, Calif-based Five Star Banc
Ep. 124 - KBW CEO challenges investors painting banks with broad brush
The banks that failed in the spring of 2023 were outliers that violated some of the golden rules of banking, but many investors continue to unfairly paint the bank group with a broad brush, according to KBW CEO Tom Michaud. In the episode, Michaud discussed the drivers of the large bank failures in 2023 and the idiosyncrasies of those institutions. He further discussed the regulatory response to t
Ep. 123 - Bank regulators are tipping the scales, could push even harder
Regulatory scrutiny has intensified in the aftermath of the liquidity crunch that erupted in 2023 and could play an even larger role in bank M&A activity in 2024 by motivating more banks to consider selling, while also standing in the way of some transactions. The episode features views presented by advisers at Hovde Group, KBW and Luse Gorman at the Acquire or Be Acquired conference, commentary
Ep. 122 - Banks' Q4 results bring shades of '95 not '08, show credit digesting higher rates
U.S. banks' fourth-quarter 2023 earnings demonstrated continued pressure on funding costs and minimal slippage in credit quality. The Street largely took the results in stride, but management teams were hopeful that net interest margin pressure could subside in the second half of 2024 and credit quality would hold up in the face of a higher for longer rate environment, according to Gerard Cassidy,
Ep. 121 - Lessons learned from a tumultuous '23, potential read through to '24
The word unprecedented became commonplace in banking circles in 2023. The Federal Reserve's rate hike campaign pushed bank balance sheets deeply underwater, spurred deposit outflows and exposed asset/liability mismatches at some institutions that culminated in record-breaking bank runs that led to the second, third and fourth largest bank failures in US history. Those closures and the liquidity c
Ep. 120 - Investor sees legs in US bank stock rally amid reasonably priced M&A
Bank stocks have rallied since the Federal Reserve offered hopes of rate cuts in 2024 and there are further catalysts on the horizon, including a pickup in M&A activity, according to Mendon Capital Advisors President Anton Schutz. In the episode, the veteran bank stock investor offered his view of bank stock valuations, credit quality, bond portfolio restructurings and increased M&A activity on t
Ep. 119 - Unlocking keys to balance sheet restructurings, bank M&A
The negative impact from higher interest rates has led a number of banks to considering balance sheet restructurings and a few institutions have pursued those transactions by unlocking capital through sales of business lines or merging with another company, according to Bill Burgess, co-head of financial services investment banking at Piper Sandler. In the episode, Burgess discussed the current ro
Ep. 118 - PE looking to fill community banks' capital need created by higher for longer rates
As community banks face a challenging operating environment due to higher for longer rates and heightened regulatory scrutiny, Tony Scavuzzo, managing principal at Castle Creek Capital, expects private equity investing in the sector to increase. In the episode, the private equity veteran said he expects new investments to support independent banks looking to play offense and purge underwater bonds
Ep. 117 - Banks face slow-cession, credit slippage as PE waits in the wings
Many bank boards are stuck as they face investor scrutiny and wait for slippage in credit quality, but experts at Raymond James' inaugural whole loan conference noted that private equity firms are waiting to infuse capital into institutions so they can play offense in the future.In the episode, John Toohig, head of whole loan trading at Raymond James and host of the firm's recent conference, discu
Ep. 116 - Early remediation, not Basel III endgame, the answer to avoid repeat of spring 2023 bank failures
In the latest Street Talk podcast, Davis Polk Partner David Portilla says implementing early remediation triggers outlined in the Dodd-Frank Act would be more effective than the Basel III endgame to avoid repeating the spring 2023 bank failures. In the episode, Portilla made the case for enacting early remediation triggers proposed in section 166 of the Dodd-Frank Act. That provision directed the
Ep. 115 - Unpacking the largest bank deal in '23, private equity involvement in bankland
Banc of California Inc.'s plans to acquire PacWest Bancorp, the largest bank deal thus far of 2023, offers some hope that a rebound in bank M&A could be on the horizon, but advisers acknowledged that the unique nature of the transaction makes it stand apart. In the latest Street Talk podcast, members of the S&P Global Market Intelligence news team highlight discussions with bank deal advisers, in
Ep. 114 - Regional banks feel funding pressures, but second-quarter earnings target biggest bears
Many regional banks' second-quarter earnings might have fallen short of the Street's estimates, but results contradicted the bear case that weighed heavily on the institutions' stock prices during the spring, according to Terry McEvoy, managing director at Stephens. In the episode recorded on July 24, McEvoy, the superregional bank analyst at Stephens, discussed the key takeaways from the first we
Ep. 113 - Bank investors can find diamonds in the rough amid funding pressures
The liquidity crunch that erupted in March made deposits more precious, but performance has diverged between institutions of different sizes and regions, according to Josh Siegel, chairman and CEO of StoneCastle Partners. In the episode, Siegel discussed the liquidity pressures facing the industry and how they far more acute for regional banks than the nation's largest and smallest banks; strateg
Ep. 112 - Banks face Bob Ross effect, tougher exams but 'huge' M&A on horizon
While many banks are being unfairly painted with a broad brush, institutions will face tougher regulatory examinations and pressure on probability and that should ultimately lead to a strong rebound in bank M&A activity. Those views were delivered by members of the investment and advisory community during two panel discussions focused on bank liquidity that S&P Global Market Intelligence hosted on
Ep. 111 - Bearish bank investor turns bullish
Brad Rinschler, managing partner at Down Range Capital Management, said in the latest "Street Talk" podcast that he believes valuations of many banks are attractive. In the episode, Rinschler and Connor Labozzetta, a partner at Down Range, discussed year-to-date performance of bank stocks, why they think failed institutions were not representative of many banks, the opportunity they see to invest
Ep. 110 - Bears use banks as 'weapons of destruction' to force change in Fed policy
Bearish investors are targeting bank stocks and ignoring the facts, according to Janney Montgomery Scott Director of Research Chris Marinac. In the episode, Marinac discussed the fallout from recent bank failures and the recent, sharp selloff in bank stocks. He said bearish investors are using banks as a "weapon of destruction" to try to force the Federal Reserve's hand to either cut interest rat
Ep. 109 - Liquidity crunch leaves some trophy franchises on sale - KBW CEO
The liquidity crunch that emerged at a few institutions in March sent fears through the market and battered bank stocks but the selloff has left some trophy franchises on sale, according to KBW CEO Tom Michaud. In the latest Street Talk podcast, KBW CEO Tom Michaud discussed the liquidity crunch that emerged in March and battered bank stocks and offered his view on current valuations, bank liquidi
Ep. 108 - Weighing Fed rate hikes against banks' liquidity crunch
Economists had hopes that the Federal Reserve could achieve a soft landing as it worked to tame inflation but that prospect could be harder in light of the liquidity crunch facing the U.S. banking industry. In the episode, S&P Global Market Intelligence's news team highlights interviews with investors, analysts and economists say that the Fed remains laser-focused on reducing inflation and the la
Ep. 107 - Lessons learned from a modern day bank run
Higher rates have put deposits under pressure across the banking industry, but liquidity strains have been far more pronounced at a few banks, resulting in severe hits to their stock prices. Crypto-focused bank Silvergate announced plans to voluntarily wind down its operations after facing a liquidity crunch, but others like SVB Financial raised capital and purged its bond portfolio after seeing a
Ep. 106 - Banks may want to shrink rather than pay up for loan growth
As deposit competition intensifies, banks should consider slowing or even stopping growing to mitigate credit risk and threats to their net interest margins, according to South State Bank Director of Capital Markets Chris Nichols. The episode features a discussion on the pitfalls of competing for deposits just with rates and why banks should rethink their growth goals at this point in the interest
Ep. 105 - Banks could see opportunity in fintech's cleansing fire
An unforgiving stock market and declining cash reserves at startups should lead to a wave of U.S. fintech industry consolidation in 2023. Some companies will survive, but many others will throw in the towel or sell their operations at a significant discount to their peak valuations, according to Tom Mason, senior research analyst at S&P Global Market Intelligence. In the episode, Mason discussed t
Ep. 104 - Deposits king of the bank M&A mountain amid funding hunt
Bank M&A activity fell considerably in 2022 but the push to obtain core deposits should encourage a steady stream of deals in 2023 as funding becomes more precious. In the episode, Bill Burgess, co-head of financial services investment banking at Piper Sandler said he is bullish that roughly 200 transactions could surface in 2023, up nearly 20% from 2022 levels as more and more acquirers seek to b
Ep. 103 - Investors worry about bank liquidity, earnings drag from underwater bonds
A spike in interest rates has created large amounts of unrealized losses sitting in banks' bond portfolios and sparked liquidity concerns in the investment community, according to Brett Rabatin, director of research at Hovde Group. In the episode, Rabatin discussed the merits of investors' concerns and the impact that deeply underwater bonds have on banks' liquidity, earnings, valuations and poten
Ep. 102 – Hopes that the bank dealmaking cool front could break in 2023
The slowdown in bank dealmaking in 2022 could reverse course in 2023 as institutions gain greater clarity over emerging liquidity and credit pressures and the regulatory environment, according to some of the most active investment bankers and attorneys focused on deals in bankland. The group, which featured the heads of investment banking from Keefe Bruyette & Woods and Piper Sandler and veteran a
Ep. 101 - D&I focus helps Northwestern Mutual nearly double industry's blockbuster growth
After explosive growth that outperformed the rest of the industry's historic growth in 2021, Northwestern Mutual believes its long-term approach, digital investments to complement its financial advisor salesforce and focus on diversity and inclusion will allow the company to stand out against other life insurers, wealth managers and the biggest banks. In the episode, Michael Carter, executive vice
Ep. 100 - KBW CEO offers optimism for bears fearful of bank liquidity, credit
Higher interest rates promise stronger net interest income for the banking industry, but bank stocks are trading at discounted prices because investors are concerned about potential threats to bank liquidity and credit quality, according to KBW CEO Tom Michaud. In the episode, Michaud discussed current bank stock valuations, the impact of higher rates on deposits, liquidity and credit quality, and
Ep. 99 - Higher rates punish bond portfolios, weigh on bank M&A
The Federal Reserve's aggressive tightening of monetary policy has pushed bank bond portfolios deep into negative territory, altered previously struck bank M&A deals and has given pause to some would-be buyers. In the episode, bankers and advisers from Piper Sandler's depository investment bank team and PNC's Financial Institutions Advisory Group discuss how higher rates have negatively impacted b
Ep. 98 - Regulatory scrutiny having cooling effect on community bank M&A
While deal discussions continue and community banks still see acquisitions as an attractive tool for growth, regulatory headwinds have made M&A a little less attractive for growth-mind companies. In the episode, Jonathan Hightower, partner at Fenimore Kay Harrison LLP, discussed the drivers of community bank M&A activity, the impact of rising rates on transactions, how most community banks already
Ep. 97 - Recessionary fears still keeping bank investors on the sidelines
Large banks' second-quarter results likely helped downplay recessionary fears but many investors will remain on the sidelines until it is clear that a severe recession is not on the horizon, according to Gerard Cassidy. In the episode, Cassidy, managing director and head of U.S. Bank Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, discussed banks' second-quarter results, how institutions' deposit bases ar
Ep. 96 - Considering recession risks, prospects that the Fed achieves a 'soft landing'
The Fed has committed to taming elevated inflation by tightening monetary at a rapid pace, stoking fears that the central bank will not be able to achieve a "soft landing" for the U.S. economy. In the episode, S&P Global Market Intelligence's news team highlights interviews with investors, analysts and economists who say that a recession is a real possibility in 2023 and that small businesses and
Ep. 95 - Strategies for community banks to grow, navigate the upcoming "hurricane"
The current economic headwinds might seem like a "hurricane" on the horizon to some, but advisers and bankers at S&P Global Market Intelligence annual community bankers' conference said institutions could navigate choppy waters. In the latest Street Talk podcast, we share the advice that bankers, advisers and investors offered at the event, including on how to prepare for unprecedented changes in
Ep. 94 - Recessionary fears in '22 overblown, Fed could overtighten
While recessionary fears have grown on the Street, S&P Global Ratings U.S. Chief Economist Beth Ann Bovino does not see a downturn developing this year. In the episode, the economist discussed her outlook for the U.S. economy and inflation, the possibility of a wage spiral and the Federal Reserve's plans to wind down its nearly $9 trillion balance sheet. She also discussed how the Fed likely will
Ep. 93 - How to predict deposit betas, avoid betting too much on rate hikes
While most banks are positioned for higher rates, institutions might be wise to consider the possibility that rates could turn the other way in the future, according to Darling Consulting Group President and CEO Matt Pieniazek. In the episode, Pieniazek discussed balance sheet positioning ahead of the rate hike cycle, the potential for securities portfolios to move further underwater as rates move
Ep. 92 - Citizens CEO discusses impact of inflation, growth through digital bank
After a busy year for dealmaking, Citizens Financial Group sees more opportunities for organic growth going forward, including through its digital bank where it plans to offer more consumer loan products, according to the company's Chairman and CEO Bruce Van Saun. In the episode, Van Saun discussed how elevated inflation and higher rates could impact loan growth and credit quality. He also discuss
Ep. 91 - Formerly bullish bank investor turns contrarian, saying stocks are "out of gas"
While a number of investors are looking for higher interest rates to drive bank earnings and stocks higher, not all investors are sold on the prospect. Even with the recent selloff, Brad Rinschler, managing partner at Down Range Capital Management, said in the latest Street Talk podcast that he believes valuations of many regional banks remain too high. In the episode, Rinschler and Connor Labozze
Ep. 90 - Banks should not wait on the Fed to put cash to work
Many banks have been hesitant to invest excess cash before the Federal Reserve raises short-term interest rates, but they are likely leaving money on the table given the strong move in immediate rates that has already occurred, according to Piper Sandler's Scott Hildenbrand. In the episode, Hildenbrand, chief balance sheet strategist and head of the financial strategies group at Piper Sandler, dis
Ep. 89 - Big bank cuts to overdraft fees could trickle down to small banks, spur M&A
A number of banks during fourth-quarter earnings season, including large players like Wells Fargo and Bank of America, unveiled plans to reduce overdraft and nonsufficient fees in 2022 as competitive pressure mounts from neobanks and regulators seek to increase their oversight of the issue. The group of banks that have cut or reduced their overdraft fees own close to 45% of U.S. deposits and likel
Ep. 88 - Bank returns could fall short of Street's expectations, sparking more M&A
The Federal Reserve's plans to raise interest rates and the return of loan growth will boost bank profitability but the gains might not come as quickly as the Street hopes and that should encourage more bank M&A activity, according to Greg Hertrich, head of U.S. depository strategies at Nomura. In the episode, Hertrich discussed how Fed actions will impact bank profitability and liquidity, whether
Ep. 87 - Fed could raise rates sooner, but 1970s-style inflation not on the table
The Federal Reserve might have to raise short-term rates sooner than expected and that could prompt the central bank to end the tapering of its bond purchases early in 2022, according to S&P Global Ratings Chief U.S. Economist Beth Ann Bovino. In the episode, Bovino discussed the outlook for economic growth, inflation and the labor markets, and how those factors will impact future Fed policy.
Ep. 86 - TD Bank focused on growth in the US, open to deals
TD Bank never turned its focus away from growth during the pandemic and the company continues see to see organic and acquisition opportunities, both in and outside of its traditional U.S. retail footprint, according to CEO Greg Braca. In the episode, Braca discussed the company's outlook for growth, including through potential acquisitions, balancing physical distribution with digital channels and
Ep. 85 - KBW CEO assesses threat from fintechs, sees legs in bank stocks, M&A
Bank stocks and bank M&A activity have rebounded strongly from the depths of the pandemic and the factors driving the resurgence remain in place, according to KBW CEO Tom Michaud. In the episode, the CEO of the Stifel Financial unit discussed current bank stock valuations, the Street's view of the group, the competitive threat of fintechs, recent bank M&A activity, the outlook for transactions in
Ep. 84 - Pandemic pushes technology to the forefront for banks, insurers in 2022
The pandemic has put technology front and center for financial institutions as customers shifted transactions toward digital channels. Meanwhile, fintechs continue to attract even greater amounts of capital and have expanded their offerings to include more banking and insurance products, putting them in direct competition with traditional players. In the episode, three members of the S&P Global Ma
Ep. 83 - Banks inking branch deals by coming to terms with multiple acquirers
Some regional banks looking to divest branches have attracted buyers by splitting up the branches and selling them to multiple community banks at once. In the episode, DD&F Consulting President Randy Dennis, who has worked with banks on some of those deals, discussed his outlook for future branch sales, bank liquidity levels and how institutions are evaluating their branch networks in a post-pande
Ep. 82 - Pickup in bank M&A could have domino effect
Bank M&A activity has picked up as institutions face revenue pressures and increasing customer demands to improve technology offerings, and more institutions could pursue to sales as they see some of their strong peers decide to partner with other institutions. In the episode, Collyn Gilbert, director of strategy at Valley National Bancorp, discussed M&A activity, balancing branches against digita
Ep. 81 - Amid strong recovery, Banc of California hearing more M&A chatter
In the episode, Banc of California President and CEO Jared Wolff discussed his outlook for community bank M&A, the health of small business borrowers and their appetite for expansion, and the state of the economic recovery and the potential impact from the emergence of the COVID Delta variant. Wolff also discussed Banc of California's multi-year turnaround that has transformed the company's balanc
Ep. 80 - Citizens Financial CEO discusses deal appetite, outlook for credit quality, loan growth
Citizens Financial Group Inc. sees stronger organic growth opportunities than peers, the company remains on the pursuit for acquisitions after announcing plans to acquire the East Coast branches and national online deposit business of HSBC Bank USA NA. In the latest Street Talk podcast, Citizens Financial Chairman and CEO Bruce Van Saun discussed the HSBC deal, the company's appetite for future ac
Ep. 79 - More attractive premiums for bank M&A targets coming
As bank M&A continues to heat up, investors could increasingly receive nice pops on their stakes in institutions selling for notable market premiums. In the episode, Anton Schutz, president and CIO Mendon Capital, discussed what has driven bank stock valuations and recent bank deals as well as his outlook for future bank stock performance and M&A activity, including mergers of equals, or MOEs.
Ep. 78 - The case to grow deposits when the world is flush with cash
Revenue pressures from excess liquidity could create opportunities for community banks to take market share while competitors retreat. In the episode, Jeff Marsico, president at bank advisory firm Kafafian Group, and Jeff Weaver, president and CEO at Dallas-based American Bank suggested that banks should take a contrarian view to the challenging revenue environment and build core deposits, lend to
Ep. 77 - Excess liquidity, low rates leave banks between a rock and M&A
In the episode, Jeff Davis, managing director at Mercer Capital, said the real risk facing the U.S. banking sector is that interest rates do not increase materially from current levels and that excess liquidity remains on balance sheets longer than many expect. Banks' traditional revenue streams have also come under pressure at a time when digital adoption has accelerated considerably due to the p
Ep. 76 - Record pace of fintech M&A, funding in Q1'21 has legs
M&A and fundraising activity in the fintech sector has started a torrid pace in 2021 and shows no signs of slowing. In the episode, Greg Smith, managing director at fintech-focused investment bank FT Partners, discussed recent M&A and fundraising trends in the fintech sector and activity from special purpose acquisition companies in the space. He also offered his view of fintech valuations, which
Ep. 75 - As ESG gains currency, banks need long-term focus
Banks should not fall victim to focusing on short-term results and should instead work to deliver long-term shareholder value, particularly in a world increasingly focused on ESG, according to a veteran of the investment community. In the episode, Fred Cannon, the former director of research and head of equity strategy at KBW, who will soon join the FASB, shares his views on bank stocks, how banke
Ep. 74 - Seeing legs in strong credit performance, US bank stock rally
Bank stocks have surged in recent months as the outlook for credit quality and the broader economy has improved but community bank valuations might have even further room to run, according to GenOpp Capital Management CIO Joe Fenech. In the episode, Fenech discusses his outlook for bank credit quality and why he expects performance to continue to exceed previous expectations. He also highlighted o
Ep. 73 - Banks could see more regulation but playing field leveled with nonbanks
Banks will face greater regulatory scrutiny under the Biden administration but could also see the playing field leveled some with their nonbank counterparts. In the episode, Isaac Boltansky, director of policy research at Compass Point Research & Trading, discusses financial regulation under the Biden administration, what the new, key agency heads – Treasury, CFPB and OCC – will focus on in their
Ep. 72 - KBW CEO says desire to compete with megabanks driving more US regional bank M&A
The current environment is highlighting the value of scale and should encourage more bank M&A activity, including larger transactions, according to KBW CEO Tom Michaud. In the episode, Michaud, whose firm just advised TCF on its $6 billion merger with Huntington, said that more institutions are looking to gain scale to invest in digital channels, become more efficient and close branches and effect
Ep. 71 - Hotel sector faces tough sledding until full COVID-19 solution
Banks' credit quality remained quite strong through the third quarter but industries more exposed to the COVID-19 pandemic, like the hospitality sector, have caused a headache for many institutions and performance is unlikely to rebound soon. The episode features third-quarter earnings commentary from banks like F.N.B. Corp and Synovus as well as the outlook for the lodging sector, including when
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