All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Industry veterans, degenerate gamblers and besties Chamath Palihapitiya, Jason Calacanis, David Sacks and David Friedberg cover all things economic, tech, political, social and poker.
Episodes
Martin Shkreli: Big Pharma's Blind Spot, Betting Against Quantum & What Prison Taught Him
(0:00) Martin Shkreli joins the Besties! (0:55) Why quantum computing is a one-trick business and why he's betting against it (7:42) The drugs big pharma sells too cheap and his journey from hedge fund trader to pharma (11:37) AI, drug discovery, and who actually wins (21:32) Brilliance and rule-breaking, the gifted-kid trap & what prison taught him Thanks to our partners for making this possibl
Is Claude Conscious? Pope Rejects, Model Welfare Movement, OpenAI's Math Backlash, France Riots
(0:00) Bestie intros! (2:53) Anthropic believes Claude might be conscious: a new religion? Lobbying the Pope, alignment risks, model welfare (38:28) OpenAI's math breakthroughs and community backlash (1:02:03) Riots in France, Friedberg's socialism metric, bond market (1:21:41) Grok Bot goes headless, OpenAI launches Dots, is IP worthless? Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Ja
Trump's Super Intelligence Summit, AI Safety Accord, GDP Beats, Midterm Predictions
(0:00) Bestie intros! (2:01) Trump's Super Intelligence Summit: Behind the scenes and how the accord was created and signed (17:57) Cybersecurity arms race, data center national security, America.gov, coordinated doomer messaging (45:22) Recent economic data: GDP, jobs, diesel, inflation, rates, manufacturing, poverty, and more (1:00:24) Midterm predictions, 2028 look ahead (1:09:28) Media coverag
Jake Paul & The Chainsmokers: Turning Fame into Funds, Jake Enters Politics? & Venture Bubble Signs
(0:00) Jake Paul joins the Chamath! (6:41) Turning an audience into businesses, the boxing playbook & coming for the UFC (11:54) Attention as capital, investing without the celebrity label & why politics is next (20:46) Drew Taggart & Alex Pall join the Besties! (30:35) From artists to investors: picking deals, playing the sixth man & what fame buys (37:33) Advice for famous investors, whether fam
Daniel Ek: Life After Spotify, Broken Healthcare Incentives, Catching Disease Early & AI's Potential
(0:00) Daniel Ek joins the Besties! (1:14) Starting Spotify: Beating piracy and betting his own money on the record labels (6:10) Neko Health: The Spotify playbook for healthcare, the $499 body scan, and why US healthcare waits until you're sick (36:04) AI: Tech's failure to sell the upside, open vs. closed models, and regulating compute (44:24) Back to Spotify: Podcasting's open standards and the
Anthropic IPO at Risk, Meta's Muse Pop, Token Prices Fall, Open Source Gains Share, Alignment Fails
(0:00) Bestie Intros: Favorite All-In Summit moments (3:54) Reacting to AI chaos: Liability, competition, and rebranding frontier "labs" (20:03) Open Source performance and cost: What this means for frontier companies (29:22) Anthropic and OpenAI postpone IPOs: liquidity risk and open source pressure (53:11) Political reactions to "Pacing the Frontier": Bernie's AI ban, Trump, Bessent, Obama (1:07
Luca Ferrari, Bending Spoons CEO: The $40K Origin Story, Buying Product-Market Fit & Why Private Equity Can't Compete
(0:00) Luca Ferrari joins the Besties! (1:56) Crashing an AI startup, the $40,000 restart & buying product market fit (4:59) The in-house tech stack, shrinking the teams & the 10 out of 10 standard (9:55) Debt as an accelerant, what happens if rates rise & who else is bidding (14:58) Inside the deal desk: what gets acquired, why they don't build & the founder question (20:22) Building a tech giant
Steve Hilton & Spencer Pratt: Fixing California, Cheaper Gas, Ballot Fraud & CA Republicans
(0:00) Steve Hilton joins the Besties! (3:53) How one-party rule broke the state, regulatory bloat & who really writes the laws (12:09) The path to victory: the persuadable voter, the cost-of-living pitch & the case against Becerra (21:46) Spencer Pratt joins: the message that cut through & the LA race that flipped (26:58) The city up close: the parks, small business & who the rules actually rewar
Blake Scholl: Why Plane Speed Stalled, Supersonic Commercial Flight, & Revolutionizing the Engine
(0:00) Welcome Blake Scholl! (5:11) Solving the sonic boom & legalizing supersonic flight (7:59) The pivot to powering data centers (10:38) Jason joins: data center demand, private jets & what winning looks like Thanks to our partners for making this possible! IREN is a vertically integrated AI Cloud platform, delivering data centers, compute and software for AI training and inference. https://
Naveen Rao: 4D Computing, AI's Energy Wall & Beating Biology
(0:00) Welcome Naveen Rao (4:45) Is energy really the problem? The cost of a token, power contracts & the gap to close (10:24) Cutting out the middleman: abstractions, dynamical systems & a new kind of machine (19:46) Chamath joins: the path to product, porting existing models & building the team Thanks to our partners for making this possible! IREN is a vertically integrated AI Cloud platform,
Adam Foroughi, Applovin CEO: Surviving a 92% Drawdown, Ads as ML 1.0 & the $50B Game Ad Market
(0:00) Adam Foroughi joins the Besties! (3:07) Discovery vs search & is your phone listening? (10:04) IPO tumble & becoming your own best investor (16:00) Privacy rules, Apple's crackdown & how agents change people's shopping (20:00) How a lean team beats the giants, margin moats & building in China Thanks to our partners for making this possible! IREN is a vertically integrated AI Cloud platfor
Bill Gurley: Searching for Feynman
(0:00) Bill Gurley takes the stage at the All-In Summit (1:29) Bill's Presentation: Searching for Feynman Links to additional resources mentioned in talk and used in research: https://www.p3.institute/searching_for_feynman_resource_links.html Thanks to our partners for making this possible! IREN is a vertically integrated AI Cloud platform, delivering data centers, compute and software for AI tr
Jared Isaacman: A New Era for NASA and American Space Exploration
(0:00) NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman lays out the state and future of NASA (17:59) Moon base, creating new space industries, NASA's next chapter (23:29) How to make Mars realistic (25:30) Recruiting, moonshots, the "Nuclear NASA," new vehicles and the importance of humans in space (32:43) Allocating capital toward scientific discovery and deep space research (35:46) Space Race 2.0: China and R
Nick Shirley: Exposing Government Fraud, Suing California & Taking on the Media
(0:00) Nick Shirley debuts his new video: "Inside California's High Speed Rail to Nowhere" (11:42) Nick joins The Besties to discuss California's "Stop Nick Shirley Act" and recent fraud arrests (17:03) How he got into investigative journalism and finding fraud (23:32) Selective journalism and why Nick is a major threat to mainstream outlets (27:34) What's next for Nick: Investigating welfare frau
Meta's Dina Powell McCormick: The Case for Data Centers, Backlash, AI Job Boom & Meta's Future
(0:00) Dina Powell McCormick joins The Besties! (1:52) Impact of Meta's data center in Richland Parish, LA: $50K teacher checks, revitalizing a small town community (11:52) How Meta is alleviating data center concerns: pollution, electricity, water, noise, aesthetics; Misinformation campaigns (19:57) America's Workforce Academy, the job growth in re-industrializing America (26:58) Meta's recent so
Brad Gerstner: No AI Bubble, Semis Eat the Nasdaq & AI's Take Off Problem
(0:00) Welcome Brad Gerstner! (1:01) Trump Accounts, Every Child a Capitalist & The CAC Scan (5:07) Can AI revenue pay for the CapEx? (8:53) The Build Out Issue: Gigawatts, TAM, Token Growth, and Margin Expansion (12:30) The risks: AI regulation, the nuclear precedent, power limits, and rising rates Thanks to our partners for making this possible! IREN is a vertically integrated AI Cloud platform,
JD Vance on AI, Entitlement Fraud, Iran War, Israel, H-1B Abuse & the Midterms
(0:00) VP JD Vance joins The Besties! (1:40) Assessing the Trump Admin so far: Border control, re-industrialization, inflation, Iran, government debt, anti-fraud (9:28) AI approach: Dealing with Doomerism, "Frankenstein," and AI negativity (16:23) H-1B abuse and the massive $1T+ of fraud in federal spending (21:48) Relationship with Israel, rational foreign policy (25:19) JD Vance's midterms messa
Satya Nadella on the AI Doomer Slowdown, Microsoft's Master Plan & Who Wins AI
(0:00) Satya Nadella joins The Besties! (0:55) Dario's blog, "pacing the frontier," common sense AI safety (6:28) The failure of AI CEO messaging, monitoring agents, what will a slowdown mean for new AI products? (14:22) Economic incentives for frontier lab doomerism, where the AI profits are (22:45) Microsoft's master plan for AI, how they are allocating capital (31:00) China's slow down, changin
Elon Musk & Gwynne Shotwell on AI Risks and Peer Review, Starship, Terafab, SpaceX/Tesla Merger
(0:00) SpaceX's Gwynne Shotwell joins The Besties! (1:45) Gwynne's SpaceX story, selling rockets, and working for Elon (6:45) Running modern day SpaceX: AI, Starlink, Rockets, and X (13:43) Direct to cell with Starlink, retiring rockets, competition (18:34) Data centers in space (22:00) Management at SpaceX (27:37) Elon Musk joins: AI's real risk, model peer review, what he meant by "Dario is righ
Jensen Huang: The Doomer Hoax, Superintelligence Is Here, and The Future of AI (ft. President Trump)
(0:00) Jensen Huang joins The Besties! (1:39) Thoughts on Dario's blog, Frontier Labs calling to slow down AI, and Doomer psychology (9:58) Sensible AI regulation and RSI (16:05) Hugging Face acquisition, future of Open Source, and the race with China (22:58) President Trump calls in live to discuss the Doomer Hoax (31:29) The AI boom and Nvidia's capital allocation strategy (40:21) Nvidia's Open
AI Kills Everybody or Doomer Psyop? OpenAI's Math Breakthrough, Nike's $200B Collapse
(0:00) Bestie intros! (0:35) AI Doomsday: Valid concern or Doomer psyop? (33:40) Steelmanning AI Doomsday scenarios and the impact on Anthropic's IPO (58:45) OpenAI says it cracked a 200 year old math problem, but did it front-run users with their own data? (1:19:55) Nike removed from S&P 100 after stock tanks 80%: What went wrong? Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason http
GPT-6 Hits AGI? Tech Euphoria 2.0, SF Mansion Shortage, NYC Bans AI in Schools & Venezuela Oil Deal
(0:00) Bestie intros: Happy 50th Chamath! (1:17) OpenAI releases GPT-6 Astra: Have they reached AGI? (19:01) All-In Summit: Scholarships available! (19:56) Dwarkesh's Hugging Face hack article sparks a Bernie Sanders AI ban (37:03) EAs, AI-brained influencers, and the conflicts of interest (59:26) Mamdani bans AI in NYC schools K-8 (1:18:58) US-Venezuela oil deal The All-In Summit is only 1 wee
Nvidia's Historic Quarter, SaaS Comeback, Bessent vs Druck, America's Debt Crisis, Cancer Vaccine
(0:00) Bestie intros: Recapping recent interviews and the state of American science (3:31) China's Robot Olympics, Optimus update, Grok Bot (9:05) Nvidia and Salesforce rip after big earnings: AI Capex Bubble and SaaSpocalypse narratives get reversed (33:32) Bessent gets called out by Druckenmiller for bond market interference (1:01:33) AI writing controversy: Druck used AI to write his WSJ Op-ed
Eric Weinstein: The State of American Science, Breakthrough Coverups, and the Danger of Physics
(0:00) Eric Weinstein joins the show! (03:09) Has American science stalled? Cowboy science, Fauci, and the scientific precariat (21:31) Weinstein's fix: Blow a hole in the Civil Rights Act, kill peer review, fund people not ideas (41:36) Ed Witten drove physics off a cliff, and is Renaissance Technologies a secret Los Alamos? (52:49) Boom, Vroom, Zoom: Did stagnant physics save the human species?
Michael Kratsios: Trump's Science Agenda, Anti-Science Claims, Fauci's Damage, DEI & China
(0:00) Michael Kratsios joins the show! (01:56) Is this administration anti-science? The Nature poll, DEI grants, and $8B down the drain (8:16) Climate science cuts: RCP 8.5 gets pulled and the "climate emergency" narrative collapses (13:45) $47B at NIH, Eroom's Law, and golden tickets: has American science stagnated? (22:24) Big bold bets: Genesis Mission, quantum by 2028, fusion by 2035, boots
Dario Defends Himself, Datacenter Panic, AI Doomer Trap, Senate Toss-Up
(00:00) Besties are back! (00:13) Dario's two-part essay: regulatory capture, doomerism, and the data center backlash (10:25) FINRA for AI vs. MPAA for AI: SROs, thinking tokens, and the "DMV for AI" (30:12) Is an open source ban coming? Harnesses, FDI, jobs, and recursive self-improvement (56:33) a16z under DOJ investigation over "interlocking directorates" (1:01:15) Midterms: broken polls, the s
Flock CEO Garrett Langley on Controversy, "Surveillance State" Claims, and Privacy vs Safety
(0:00) The most controversial company in privacy right now, Flock CEO joins the show! (7:23) License plate data retention: 7 days solves 90% of crimes (13:00) Camera vandalism, felony charges, and privacy concerns (18:15) Dirty cops exposed: Flock's audit tool got 9 Georgia officers fired (28:25) AI, drones, facial recognition, and avoiding predictive policing (39:43) Safety is a privilege and who
Anthropic's $2T IPO, Zuck's AI Manifesto, Nvidia's $500B AI Bet, Grok's Comeback
(0:00) Gavin Baker joins the show! (2:36) Anthropic IPO report: $2T valuation, $100B+ run rate, October listing (27:32) Zuck's AI manifesto: What it means for Meta and frontier AI (56:41) All-In Summit Speaker Announcements! (58:13) Nvidia's $500B financing plan, how the AI market could fall apart (1:14:29) NJ and Mamdani take on Amazon over subcontracted drivers (1:27:32) Grok 4.6 launch: SpaceX'
Rahm Emanuel: Trump's Foreign Policy, China, Europe's Decline, Immigration & DSA vs Democrats
(0:00) Jason and Friedberg welcome Rahm Emanuel (1:16) Lessons from working with Clinton and Obama (7:45) China: How to approach conflict, new economic bloc, isolation, and Taiwan (28:49) Europe: Reasons for the decay of the West (38:37) Immigration: US solutions, who to emulate, subsidizing college for Americans (46:55) National debt, government interference in markets, fixing education (1:09:24)
Google's AI Brain Drain, SpaceX's Huge Quarter, Airtable's 90% Collapse, US Data Fuels China AI
(0:00) Bestie intros! Brad Gerstner fills in for Chamath (2:16) Major shakeups at Google: AI brain drain or better strategy? (20:39) SpaceX's big quarter: Terafab, AI Capex, $1T revenue projection? (45:44) All-In Summit Speaker Announcements! (48:01) Airtable sells for a 90% discount: SaaSpocalypse? (1:05:56) Chinese AI labs are buying US training data to catch up Apply for Summit 2026: https://al
Saronic Founders: Autonomous Warships, China's 230X Advantage & Swarms of Robot Ships
(0:00) Saronic founders join the show! (4:56) The Navy's first autonomous rescue in the Strait of Hormuz, and how China out builds America 230-to-1 (13:04) $3B destroyers vs. Marauder (21:25) Killing cost-plus, the new primes, and why only 1% of the budget goes to autonomy (25:55) Could 10,000 Corsairs actually lock down a 20-mile strait? (31:25) China's arming robot dogs: will our AI weapons hurt
Chip Stocks Crash, $20B Fund Margin Called, Frontier Labs: SLOW DOWN AI, Mamdani's Grocery Stores
(0:00) Bestie intros (1:19) Chip stocks crash, Leopold Aschenbrenner's $20B fund gets margin called (20:20) China's advantage and green shoots for the US economy (34:12) Frontier Labs say "SLOW DOWN AI" (1:01:15) Why are frontier labs "burning books"? (1:14:45) Socialism Corner: Mamdani's grocery stores and the "Socialist Spectacle" (1:24:44) Science Corner: Understanding and mapping the brain App
The $1/Hour Worker: Four Robotics CEOs on Humanoids at Home, China's Threat, and the End of Dangerous Jobs
(0:00) Intro: Humanoids, Robots, & AI+ (0:57) ANYbotics' Dr. Péter Fankhauser: Why ANYbotics Bet the Company on Four-Legged Robot Dogs, Not Humanoids (13:18) Dr. Péter Fankhauser: China's Armed Robot Dogs Are "Stupid and Risky" — Inside the Terminator Debate (15:01) NEO's Bernt Børnich: Neo Ships in 2026 and Becomes an Open Robot Platform (22:18) Bernt Børnich: Robots Building Robots in Just 3 Yea
The Fight Over Open Source AI, Anthropic's $1.5B Payout, NYC Socialists: Evictions = Violence?
(0:00) Bestie intros! (0:18) The fight to save open source AI: Kimi K3 panic, Anthropic/OpenAI regulatory capture (27:38) Anthropic/OpenAI historic growth rates, China's long game (48:29) Anthropic's $1.5B piracy settlement and the great IP theft hypocrisy (1:07:12) Google and Tesla stocks tank on surging AI capex (1:17:19) Socialism Corner: "Evictions = Violence" and the threat to private propert
Mark Cuban on the AI Bubble: Who Actually Gets Wiped Out?
(0:00) Bubble talk: Comparing today's AI market to the dot-com bubble (7:50) AI's real-world limits: why enterprise AI is harder than expected (16:38) Transitioning to an AI-First Workspace (21:26) Health & AI: self-directed healthcare and biometric data (24:30) Politics, wealth tax, and AI as a truth-seeking force (35:12) Knicks & Sports Talk Thanks to our partners for making this possible! AppLo
Can the AI Industry Regulate Itself? Stripe Wants PayPal, China Catches Up, NY Bans Datacenters
(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:32) New AI regulatory proposal: DeepMind's Demis Hassabis proposes FINRA-type body (20:01) Stripe, Block, and Advent offer $53B to acquire PayPal (37:51) Apple sues OpenAI, alleging stolen trade secrets (42:49) Grok Build data leak, AI data privacy, Tokenmaxxing update, Mira Murati's new model (59:53) NY bans datacenters, becoming first state to enact a moratorium (1:22:57
Former Intel CEO on What Went Wrong, What's Next + Lovable CEO on the Real Promise of Vibe Coding
(0:00) Former Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger joins Jason! (1:41) What Went Wrong at Intel (15:19) Why a Taiwan Blockade Would Cripple the US Economy (25:00) Lovable's Anton Osika: One Million New Apps a Week (33:38) How Lovable is Bringing Down Builder Costs Thanks to our partners for making this possible! Airwallex is a leading global payments and financial platform for modern businesses, offering trust
The Trillion-Dollar Industries AI Is Disrupting: Voice, Law & the End of the Billable Hour
(0:00) ElevenLabs' $600M ARR Ramp, 600 Employees & Life Without PMs (15:34) Celebrity Voice Deals, Deepfake Impersonation & Racing OpenAI and Anthropic (31:42) Legora's Hypergrowth, Disrupting Law Firms & the Billable Hour (42:31) LexisNexis Decline, Legal Data Moats & Legora's Narrow AI Models Thanks to our partners for making this possible! Airwallex is a leading global payments and financial pl
More Trillion Dollar IPOs, Anthropic $3T, Zuck's Price War, China Ends Open Source?, Trump Accounts
(0:00) Bestie intros: Brad Gerstner fills in for Friedberg! (2:58) OpenAI vs Anthropic IPOs: Why it matters who goes first, what they learned from the SpaceX IPO, the unlimited TAM of intelligence (27:39) The open source decision, Meta's new model, Zuck's price war, AI duopoly (54:29) CCP considering putting export controls on Chinese models, is open source ending in China? (1:03:09) Trump Account
Open Source Wins, AGI Is Here, and Scorsese's AI Toolkit with CEOs of Cerebras & Black Forest Labs
(0:00) The AI Buildout: Datacenters Bigger Than Cities (Andrew Feldman) (1:50) Reasoning, Inference, and Breaking Moore's Law (16:28) Open Source, AI Sovereignty, and the Road to AGI (40:54) The Innovation Behind Generative Video (Robin Rombach) (47:31) Martin Scorsese, Robots, and the Future of Hollywood IP Thanks to our partners for making this possible! AppLovin Ads - AppLovin's AI advertising
AI Sovereignty Wars, Palantir-Nvidia Deal, SCOTUS Birthright Ruling, Newsom's CA Budget Lie
(0:00) Bestie intros: Happy Fourth of July! (0:21) Palantir-Nvidia open source deal, Alex Karp's CNBC "Crashout" (33:52) Update on the AI jobs debate (50:24) Anthropic's Fable 5 available after export restrictions lifted (59:06) SCOTUS upholds birthright citizenship, striking Trump's EO (1:21:30) Newsom's "balanced budget" and how California's dire fiscal situation could break apart the Union Appl
Nate Silver Predicts: Democrats Take the House, Newsom Is Fading & AOC Might Win It All in 2028
(0:00) Nate Silver joins the pod! (10:02) California's ballot counting problem: Raman's late-mail surge, ballot harvesting claims, and why the US counts slower than India (25:18) Democrats' three-way civil war: The left, the abundance libs, and Newsom's "resistance lib" base (34:48) The winning 2028 playbook: Anti-oligarch messaging, why young men want control, and immigrants fleeing the Dems (45:
Socialists Sweep NYC, China Catches Up in Coding, AI Memory Crunch, Micron's Blowout Quarter
(0:00) Gavin Baker and Travis Kalanick join the show! (1:05) Mamdani-endorsed socialists sweep congressional primaries in NYC (22:51) Future of the Democratic Party, the Israel issue, social media bans (45:12) China's open-source AI catch up, distillation, OpenAI's new chip (1:01:46) Micron smashes earnings, AI's memory crunch hitting Apple and consumer hardware (1:10:17) The math behind distribut
GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen's $56B Plan to Take Over eBay
(0:00) David Friedberg intros GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen! (1:56) Building and selling Chewy for $3.35B, how to compete with Amazon in e-commerce (11:58) Post-Chewy life, activist investing, the road to GameStop CEO, expanding into collectibles (26:39) Why he wants to buy eBay for $56B: Massive potential, poor execution (slow growth, rising expenses, seller relationship failure) (43:58) Ryan's three-p
World's First Trillionaire, Anthropic Fable Banned, The New Oligarchs, Iran Peace Deal
(0:00) Bestie intros! (2:41) The New Oligarchs, America's incoming politburo, and learned helplessness (14:18) SpaceX's record breaking IPO, $60B Cursor acquisition, and trillionaire reactions (33:34) Behind the scenes of Anthropic's Fable ban (1:01:18) Claude psychoanalyzes its creator, Dario Amodei (1:14:31) Iran War MOU and the market impact Apply for Summit 2026: https://allin.com/events Follo
Anthropic's Fable Backlash, Nationalizing AI, Inflation Heats Up & California's Broken Elections
(0:00) Besties are back! (0:19) Anthropic gets massive backlash over secret Fable nerfing and privacy concerns (29:16) The AI regulatory capture trap, pragmatic safety solutions (37:59) Nationalizing AI: Trump/Sanders, justifications, and AI's "Capitalist Cucks" (59:22) Liquidity recap: Best moments and takeaways (1:05:39) Inflation heats up: CPI and PPI see 3+ year highs (1:12:27) California's lo
All-In's Best Ideas Pitch Competition: 4 Investors Present Their Top Trades Live
(0:00) Chamath explains the Best Ideas format (2:31) Suvretta Capital Management's Aaron Cowen pitches MGM Resorts (13:07) Bornite Capital's Dan Dreyfus pitches Talen Energy (27:19) EcoR1 Capital's Oleg Nodelman pitches Aktis Oncology (40:20) Multicoin Capital's Kyle Samani pitches GEODNET (54:50) The Besties recap the pitches and announce winners Thanks to our partners for making this possible! E
Senators John Fetterman and Dave McCormick: Bipartisanship, Money in DC, Datacenters, Graham Platner
(0:00) PA Senators Fetterman and McCormick join the Besties (0:33) Bipartisanship in 2026, rejecting extremism (6:37) All-time unpopularity in the Senate, the filibuster question, tribalism (13:33) Fixing wealth concentration in the US (19:51) Graham Platner, why extremism wins primaries, and what it means for the future (28:12) How AI and energy are playing a part in PA's blue collar boom, dark m
Dan Dreyfus: America's Critical Minerals Crisis is Here
(0:00) Dan Dreyfus Presents: The Future of Critical Minerals (0:33) America's "Capital Light Era" is over, rapid supply/demand shocks (5:40) Impact of China cutting off the US from critical minerals (8:18) Copper's Rise: The next 18 years need as much as the last 10,000 (12:00) Dollar Debasement: $140T in debt and why hard assets win (13:50) The Grid is Dying: Blackouts, bottlenecks, and the craft
Bill Maris: How Google Could Crush AI Competitors, Why Small Funds Win, and AI's Atari Stage
(0:00) Bill Maris joins the Besties! (0:33) Four critical lessons from a career in technology (5:58) Building Google Ventures with data and machine learning (9:51) Why small VC funds beat big ones on average (14:36) OpenAI's valuation problem and the AI price war (19:09) AI's "Atari Stage": what comes next? (25:23) VC's broken incentives and the future of deep tech Thanks to our partners for makin
Nikesh Arora: Mythos is Real, Analytical SaaS is Dead, and Google can be a $10T company
(0:00) Palo Alto Networks CEO Nikesh Arora joins the Besties! (0:47) Claude Mythos found years of vulnerabilities in Palo Alto's code in weeks (5:15) Are cyber defenders losing the race against AI attackers? (6:50) Analytical SaaS is dead, so what survives the AI wave? (14:06) If models become a utility, where will the money be made? (20:35) Armchair CEO: Nikesh rates Waymo, Google, and OpenAI (28
Inside the Private Stock Market Boom: SpaceX, Anthropic, OpenAI & the Rise of Secondaries
(0:00) Brad Gerstner, Gavin Baker, and Kelly Rodriques join the Besties! (0:47) Secondary Markets are Booming & Competing with IPOs (3:10) Why Companies are Staying Private So Long? (9:22) SPVs, the Forge-Schwab Deal, Democratizing Private Market Access (13:28) Secondary Markets as Exit Liquidity for VCs (27:00) The Private Market Bubble? (32:03) Hottest Secondary Companies Right Now Thanks to our
The IPO Comeback: Why Tech Giants Are Finally Going Public | All-In Liquidity IPO Panel
(0:00) CEOs Andrew Feldman (Cerebras) and Will Marshall (Planet Labs) join the Besties! (2:05) Both CEOs on going public: Impact on employees, customers, and business operations (13:18) Timelines for datacenters in space (19:28) Cerebras business breakdown, AI's impact on the silicon market (24:45) How Founder/CEOs think about liquidity on the road to going public Thanks to our partners for making
Dan Loeb: The Lost Art of Short Selling, and Why Stock Picking is Back
(0:00) Dan Loeb joins the Besties! (0:34) Investor journey: From message boards to a multibillion dollar hedge fund (3:15) Third Point's early days: mentors and market turmoil (8:47) Strategy shift: Event-driven to quality and AI (16:01) The art of short selling and a homebuilder trade (22:15) Criminal justice reform and the Ross Ulbricht pardon Thanks to our partners for making this possible! EY
Thomas Laffont: The $4T AI IPO Wave, 2026's Unicorn Economy, and the 10X Paradox
(0:00) Coatue's Thomas Laffont joins the Besties! (0:30) Public markets are back as AI is dominates the "Unicorn Economy" (5:15) The $4T AI IPO explosion (7:48) The case for SpaceX: Compounding launch monopoly and Starlink (10:38) The 10x Paradox: Why we're seeing unprecedented scaling (15:33) Segmenting AI markets and future impact (18:32) Bestie Q&A: Power Law in AI, future of VC, where revenue
Bill Ackman: Investment Strategy, What the Market is Missing, How AI Breaks Businesses
(0:00) Bill Ackman joins the show! (0:30) Evolving investment philosophy: What's changed over 20 years? (4:40) AI: Greatest time to build a business, and a major threat to portfolios (7:50) Predicting market moves, the "rubber band effect" (16:00) Owning founder-led companies (19:30) Building the next Berkshire Hathaway Thanks to our partners for making this possible! EY - Agentic AI is introducin
OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar: IPO, AI Rivalries, New Device, and Spending $100B+ on Compute
(0:00) OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar joins the show! (0:31) How OpenAI thinks about its IPO timeline (3:31) OpenAI, Anthropic, Google: The AI arms race (7:43) Navigating the compute crunch and AI bottlenecks, device preview! (15:53) OpenAI's economics (26:08) Push into chips, the cloud (29:32) OpenAI's ad business and strategy Thanks to our partners for making this possible! EY - Agentic AI is introducin
Anthropic's Digital God, Pope vs AI, Job Loss Narrative Flips, Open Source Crackdown Coming?
(0:00) Bill Gurley joins the show! (6:00) Making yourself valuable in the age of AI, first class of "AI Natives" (17:37) Reacting to Pope Leo's AI encyclical: Who guards the guardians? (26:54) Anthropic's Digital God: Do they believe they are creating a superior species? (38:32) AI sovereignty, the next era of privacy, open-source crackdown coming? (59:56) The Great AI Jobs Debate: Dario and Sam A
SpaceX's $2T Case, Nvidia's Shock Selloff, America Turns on AI, Trump Pulls AI Order, Bond Crisis?
(0:00) Gavin Baker joins the show! (0:30) Andrej Karpathy joins Anthropic; hypergrowth and profitability (12:42) Why Americans have turned on AI, anti-human perception (27:22) Trump pulls AI EO, US-China AI relationship, dystopian AI layoffs (45:19) SpaceX S-1 tear down! Breaking down the three major businesses and the case for a $2T valuation (1:11:22) Nvidia smashes earnings but stock falls, why
Trump-Xi Summit, Benioff: "Not My First SaaSpocalypse," OpenAI vs Apple, Multi-Sensory AI, El Niño
(0:00) Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff joins the show! (1:14) Trump-Xi summit, doing business in China as a US company, impact on Americans and the midterms (18:46) Taiwan, chips, AI models, and peace through trade (31:41) AI's impact on software: What SaaS thrives, what SaaS dies? (47:26) OpenAI is considering suing Apple over failed ChatGPT integration (56:54) Thinking Machines releases real-time mo
Charles & Chase Koch on How They Quietly Built a $150B Empire
(0:00) David Friedberg welcomes Charles & Chase Koch (1:04) Koch Inc. Overview: Scale, Business Lines & History (2:21) Building the Business: Early Days & Charles Koch Joins (1961) (11:31) Failures, Creative Destruction & Learning from Mistakes (19:22) Culture & Principle-Based Management (33:53) Georgia-Pacific Acquisition & Culture Transformation (56:17) Stand Together: Education Reform & Social
Spencer Pratt on Fixing LA: Wildfires, Homelessness, Corruption & the Fight to Take It Back
(0:00) Spencer Pratt vs. the Machine (3:01) Inside the Palisades Fire: Drained Reservoirs, No Sirens & Watching His House Burn on His Phone (14:03) Why He's Running for Mayor: FireAid's $100M Scandal & the NGO Corruption Nobody Talks About (28:10) Karen Bass at 20% & the Real State of Los Angeles: Crime, Homelessness & a City in Free Fall (38:23) Spencer's Plan to Fix LA: Enforcing Laws, Auditing
Elon's Anthropic Deal, The Next AI Monopoly?, "FDA for AI" Panic, Trading the AI Boom
(0:00) Bestie intros! Thoughts on the LA mayor election (4:38) SpaceX-Anthropic deal, Elon Web Services, SpaceX IPO valuation, Anthropic's insane growth trajectory (26:48) Is Anthropic the next great monopoly? Early signals or major overreaction? (35:21) "FDA for AI" freakout, how the White House thinks about AI safety (52:01) Flipping AI's negative perception: Giving, healthcare and education inn
OpenAI Misses Targets, Codex vs Claude, Elon vs Sam Trial, Big Hyperscaler Beats, Peptide Craze
(0:00) Bestie intros (3:05) OpenAI misses targets, Codex gains on Claude (20:02) AI cybersecurity: a market that's about to explode (31:03) Elon vs Sam Altman lawsuit (41:00) Big tech smashes earnings, Capex explosion (52:44) Vibecoding nightmare: AI deleted someone's codebase (58:33) Retatrutide craze: peptides go mainstream (1:06:34) Friedberg's Supreme Court experience Apply for Summit 2026: ht
CA Governor Candidate Steve Hilton on Why California is Destroying Itself & How a Republican Can Win
(0:00) Intro: Steve Hilton is a Republican Brit Running for CA Governor (8:34) Zero Tax Under $100K and a 7.5% Flat Rate: Is It Fiscally Possible? (27:52) Why CA Homes Cost 3x More to Build (Unions, CEQA, and Climate Dogma) (44:50) Why CA Schools Spend the Most but Get the Worst Results (50:02) Crime, Homelessness, and the Failure to Enforce Laws That Already Exist (1:01:34) Can a Republican Actua
SpaceX-Cursor Deal, SaaS Debt Bomb, New Apple CEO, SPLC Indictment, Colon Cancer Spike
(0:00) Bestie intros! (4:55) SpaceX-Cursor deal, compute as leverage (18:33) SaaS bloodbath, debt bomb incoming, buy the dip? (46:20) New Apple CEO: John Ternus succeeds Tim Cook, what's next for Apple? (1:00:32) SPLC indictment, out of control NGOs (1:19:03) Science Corner: Potential cause discovered for colon cancer spike in young people Apply for Summit 2026: https://allin.com/events Follow the
OpenAI's Identity Crisis, Datacenter Wars, Market Up on Iran News, Mamdani's First Tax, Swalwell Out
(0:00) Bestie intros: Travis Kalanick joins the show! (0:42) Mamdani taxes the rich: new pied-à-terre tax coming to NYC (11:23) OpenAI's identity crisis: Leaked memo, enterprise pivot, Anhropic valuation flip (27:28) Big Tech's compute dominance: How will this impact frontier labs? (33:53) Allbirds stock up over 400% on AI pivot, and what's behind the datacenter disaster? (54:37) The Price is Wron
Anthropic's $30B Ramp, Mythos Doomsday, OpenClaw Ankled, Iran War Ceasefire, Israel's Influence
(0:00) Bestie intros: Brad Gerstner joins the show! (4:22) Anthropic blocks Mythos release for security concerns: serious or marketing stunt? (24:07) Are OpenAI and Anthropic trying to kill OpenClaw? Does Anthropic already have market dominance in AI coding? (42:20) Anthropic $30B run rate, fastest revenue ramp ever, the TAM for intelligence (58:01) Major vibe shift: Anthropic ripping, OpenAI reel
Josh Shapiro on Trump, Iran War Chaos, Israel's Failure, the Economy, and 2028 Race
(0:00) Jason intros PA Governor Josh Shapiro (1:40) Shapiro's blueprint for PA: pro-growth, pro-freedom, less red tape, prosecuting fraud (13:05) Wealth tax debate, what Dems are getting wrong on business (20:17) 2024 Democratic collapse, future of the party, socialist wing (38:12) How Congress has become "pathetic," political corruption (47:18) Antisemitism, Netanyahu's failures, and the chaos of
The Companies Changing Warfare Forever: Palantir & Anduril Execs on Drones, AI & the Future of War
(0:00) Friedberg Intros Palantir's Shyam Sankar and Anduril's Trae Stephens (0:56) Palantir Origins: CIA Analyst Joins 20-Person Startup (2:54) War, Deterrence & Silicon Valley's Defense Tech Taboo (8:39) US vs China: Drone Gap, Shipbuilding & 2027 Taiwan Threat (12:27) Anduril's Arsenal-1 Factory & Fixing US Munitions Supply Chain (41:48) Autonomous Weapons, AI Decision-Making & Future of War (47
SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity
(0:00) Bestie intros! (0:12) SpaceX IPO, the economic opportunity of space: a new industrial frontier (21:00) 2026 IPO explosion, OpenAI down round? (36:33) Iran War costs, fertilizer crisis, downstream impacts (49:58) Trump's Iran messaging problems, Bondi out, why the US is in Iran (1:04:18) Quantum Bitcoin hack possibilities, how crypto should react Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath htt
Anthropic's Generational Run, OpenAI Panics, AI Moats, Meta Loses Lawsuits
(0:00) Bestie intros!: Friedberg for Governor of California? (2:25) Anthropic's generational run (15:45) OpenAI: getting focused or panic mode? (36:56) AI valuation impacts, moats, and disruption (43:58) Liquidity speaker announcements, the 100x AI moment (50:35) Two landmark social media verdicts against Meta (1:12:46) Sacks and Friedberg join PCAST! Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath http
Bryan Johnson: I Just Took the Most Powerful Dose of DMT in the World... Here's What It Was Like
(0:00) David Friedberg intros Bryan Johnson (0:54) Why Bryan Johnson did 5-MeO-DMT (12:56) What brain scans actually show (18:36) Psychosis, bad trips, and life-altering decisions (26:23) The next frontier: organoids and gene therapy (33:26) GLP-1s, abundance, and human optimization (35:35) The longevity drug nobody's talking about? Thanks to our partner for making this happen! The Pod by Eight Sl
Four CEOs on the Future of AI: CoreWeave, Perplexity, Mistral, and IREN
(0:00) Intro live from Nvidia GTC (0:37) CoreWeave CEO, Michael Intrator (32:58) Perplexity CEO, Aravind Srinivas (1:07:11) Mistral CEO, Arthur Mensch (1:18:57) IREN CEO, Daniel Roberts Our episode is sponsored by the New York Stock Exchange - a modern marketplace and exchange for building the future. It all happens at the NYSE - https://nyse.com Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://
How Matt Mahan Thinks He Can Save California
(0:00) Matt Mahan: Why He's Running for Governor (1:51) How California Went From Bad to Worse (12:05) Public Sector Unions & Lobbying in Sacramento (19:05) California's Housing Crisis: Regulation & Fees (34:52) California Energy Crisis: Gas Taxes & Green Policy (43:57) The $1 Trillion Pension Time Bomb (1:02:37) Trump, Tariffs & the Rise of Dangerous Populism (1:09:14) Immigration Reform: ICE & th
Jensen Huang LIVE: Nvidia's Future, Physical AI, Rise of the Agent, Inference Explosion, AI PR Crisis
(0:00) Jensen Huang joins the show! (0:26) Acquiring Groq and the inference explosion (8:53) Decision making at the world's most valuable company (10:47) Physical AI's $50T market, OpenClaw's future, the new operating system for modern AI computing (16:38) AI's PR crisis, refuting doomer narratives, Anthropic's comms mistakes (20:48) Revenue capacity, token allocation for employees, Karpathy's aut
John Fetterman: The Rogue Democrat Who Broke Party Ranks
(0:00) David Friedberg welcomes Senator John Fetterman; SAVE Act thoughts (1:08) The broken Democratic Party: TDS, what he stands for, why the party changed, losing bipartisanship, popularity with Republicans (11:42) Iran exit strategy, NATO allies bail on the US (17:42) Israel's influence, AIPAC, growing anti-Israel sentiment (20:16) SAVE Act, why he supports voter ID but not this bill, election
Travis Kalanick & Michael Dell Live from Austin, Texas
(0:00) Travis Kalanick: Officially exiting stealth mode, what he's been working on (5:52) How to automate the physical world, markets to go after (11:00) Return to self-driving: Tesla, Waymo, and the autonomous race (16:17) Leaving Los Angeles for Austin, the decline of truth and justice in California (25:51) Actuators, robot hands, "Capital as a weapon," Middle East SWF impacted by Iran War (36:0
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare
(0:00) The Besties welcome Brad Gerstner! (3:48) Economic fallout of the Iran War, escalation scenarios, impact on midterms (19:18) Off ramp strategies, Gulf state involvement, the China angle (27:05) Anthropic and OpenAI scaling revenue faster than any company ever (46:11) AI's PR disaster, open source's future (1:07:51) Washington passes "Millionaire Tax," Howard Schultz bails for Miami Follow B
Rewriting the Rules: The SEC & CFTC on Crypto, IPOs & the Future of American Markets
(0:00) Jason and Chamath welcome SEC's Paul Atkins and CFTC's Michael Selig (0:53) Atkins on how US markets have changed over his 40 year career (3:04) Top priorities across both agencies: Fixing the IPO drought, crypto regulation, cutting unnecessary rules (8:16) AI trading bots, autonomous hedge funds, and investing with leverage (15:30) Ending the "Turf War" between the SEC and CFTC, super app
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