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Behind the Balance Sheet

Behind the Balance Sheet

Stephen Clapham's Podcast on Value Investing | Stockmarket Analysis | Equities 66 episodes Latest May 21, 2026

We deconstruct the performance of world beating investors. A former Tiger Cub hedge fund partner interviews top hedge fund & long only managers & leading commentators. Past guests include John Armitage, Mario Gabelli & Bill Nygren. We explore how professionals analyse & value businesses, capital cycles, forensic accounting, pick stocks, construct portfolios, generate alpha & manage risk. For private investors, analysts, PMs & students who want serious financial education, sharper investing insights & to master equity research, fundamental analysis & value investing.

Episodes

#59 The "Permabear" - Jeremy Grantham on why he expects a market crash, navigating bubbles and giving away $1bn May 21, 2026 01:27:32 Jeremy Grantham is known as a permabear and an expert on bubbles so you should not be surprised that he sees an AI-induced bubble today and thinks the market will fall by 50%. He points out that at peaks you always have high multiples applied to abnormally high profit margins and today is no different. We discuss his experiences at GMO, where they didn’t have a sales person for their first 22 year
#58 The Chart Guy - $4tn CIO Michael Cembalest on markets, AI and the impending rout in US Treasuries Apr 16, 2026 00:55:44 Michael Cembalest chairs the Market and Investment Strategy group at JP Morgan Asset and Wealth Management and effectively oversees $4tn AUM. He is responsible for market and investment insights across the asset management business and has produced the famous Eye on the Market publication for over 20 years now. We discuss AI, which formed the bulk of his most recent annual edition, why he believes
#57 The Behavioural Scientist - Rory Sutherland on Marketing, What Analysts Miss and Behavioural Economics Mar 22, 2026 01:48:47 Rory Sutherland is the Vice Chairman of advertising giant Ogilvy UK, a behavioural scientist, TED speaker, organiser of the Nudgestock conference and so much more. Most important, he is one of the most original thinkers around. In this wide ranging conversation, he explains what accountants and analysts miss, why he believes family-owned businesses are long term winners, two reasons to own Costco,
#56 The Sculptor - Jonathan Tepper on 16 Stock Portfolios, Moats & Buying Oligopolies Mar 13, 2026 01:03:08 The title “The Sculptor” is a play on a quote “every man can be the sculptor of his own mind”, as Jonathan Tepper is uniquely self-educated. Brought up in the slums of San Blas in Madrid, partly home-schooled, he made it to Oxford as a Rhodes scholar. Tepper is a relentless learner, endlessly curious and in love with investing – as he sees it, you never stop learning and every day is an opportunit
#55 The Pugilist - Terry Smith on Quality, Valuation & Long‑Term Compounding Mar 13, 2026 01:24:52 Terry Smith is the fund manager the professionals love tohate. A billionaire, he is in the third and most successful phase of a varied career. He trounced the index for years with a simple mantra of buy good companies, don’t overpay, do nothing. He thus built one of the largest funds inthe UK, made himself a fortune and moved to Mauritius. None of this made him popular with his peers and after 5 y
#54 The Innovation Fans - James Anderson & Morgan Samet on Finding the Next Ten‑Baggers Dec 18, 2025 00:48:53 James Anderson, former Senior Partner of Baillie Gifford and early backer of Elon Musk, now runs the Lingotto Innovation Strategy with Morgan Samet. I interviewed them in front of a live audience at Italian Tech Week, hence this shorter than usual episode. We discussed AI of course, China’s role in a portfolio as a leader in many areas of tech but with associated geopolitical risk, the future of a
#53 The Plodder - Tom Gayner on Building Markel and the Art of Long‑Term Compounding Nov 20, 2025 01:16:48 Tom Gayner is the CEO of Markel Group and has run its investment portfolio for 35 years, beating the index by an astonishing 1.5% pa. This makes him one of the most successful capital allocators in the US stockmarket, yet he is under the radar. He explains why he holds 140 stocks, although the top 40 represent 80% of the value; why there are so few imitators of the insurance/equity and business in
#52 The Traditionalist - Tim Guinness on Why Beating the Market is Easy Oct 16, 2025 00:59:07 Tim Guinness is the founder and Chairman of Guinness Global Investors. He has been in business 5 decades and has been managing money for 44 years. He has built up two firms, the first he sold and the second now runs $11bn. Age 77, he is still thinking about how to grow the business and secure its future. Perhaps controversially, Tim thinks it’s not difficult for activemanagers to beat the index, e
#51 The Franchise Fan - Nick Train on Durable Franchises and 20‑Year Holding Periods Sep 18, 2025 01:19:24 Nick Train is a seriously thoughtful growth investor with a highly impressive 40 year track record. He invests in eternal franchises and takes a 20 year view. He says his ideal holding period is forever. He was early to recognise that high quality consumer brands were great investments and accordingly his funds significantly outperformed their benchmarks. More recently, the last five years have be
#50 The Art Lover - Christopher Tsai on Growth Investing, Tesla & Collecting Ai Weiwei Aug 21, 2025 01:17:55 Christopher Tsai is a deeply thoughtful growth investor. He became one of the foremost collectors of the works of Ai Weiwei, recognising their implicit value and deeply studying the artist. His concentrated portfolio reflects his attraction to growth stocks with Tesla his largest position. In our conversation, he explains why he believes Tesla has deep moats across multiple verticals; why he think
#49 The $50bn Man - David Samra on Global Value & 20 Years of 4% Alpha Jul 17, 2025 01:22:27 David Samra has been in the investment business for over 30years. He specialises in international value and has beaten his index by over 4% pa for over 20 years, in a period when traditional value has been doing poorly. That may be why his fund, which has been closed to new investors for most of the last 14 years, has reached $50bn. In this conversation, David explains his focus on four factors: o
#48 The Independent Thinker - Dave Iben on Contrarian Value, Commodities & Emerging Markets Jun 19, 2025 01:02:58 Dave Iben is the founder and CIO of Kopernik GlobalInvestors, a $6bn global value investment shop which prides itself on independent thought and is comfortable with contrarian positions.Steve invited Dave on the podcast because at a recent NewYork conference, Dave was cheerleading that value was back, and Steve wanted to discuss the rationale for his enthusiasm, given value’s massive underperforma

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