LiveSquawk Market Talk
LiveSquawk Market Talk provides deep-dive analysis from market veterans ahead of major financial events such as Non-Farm Payrolls and central bank decisions. Expert guests discuss market positioning, trading opportunities, and global implications to help listeners stay ahead of market-moving news. The podcast is produced by LiveSquawk, a trusted source for real-time financial news covering over 120 countries and all major asset classes.
Episodes
Walsh's Fed, Hawkish Dissents, and the September Hike That Probably Won't Happen
Kevin Walsh skipped the dot plot at his first meeting, wrote terser statements, and inherited three hawkish dissents. Marc Chandler maps out where the other six rate-hike sympathisers on the FOMC actually stand — and why the minutes may tell you more about the September outcome than the data prints that preceded them.Marc Chandler, Chief Market Strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex, joins LiveSqu
July FOMC Preview: When Zero Forward Guidance Meets a Hawkish Room
Trueflation at 1.29%, waste management volumes at pandemic lows, and record apartment concessions — the real economy is whispering recession while energy prices scream inflation. So why might the Fed hike anyway, and what would that tell us about what comes next?Follow Danielle on X: https://x.com/DiMartinoBoothTry our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE!👇https://www.livesquawk.com/#sign-up
Oil's 12% Crash, FOMC Hawks, and the BoJ's Quiet Pivot
The Bank of Japan may be moving from biannual to quarterly hikes — a marginal policy shift with an outsized signal. Combined with a one-third market probability of a Fed hike and a nailed-on ECB move in September, this week's central bank calendar is anything but quiet.Try our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇https://www.livesquawk.com/#sign-upFollow us on X: https://x.com/Liv
Temporary Pause or Turning Point? The ECB Decision That Could Shake Markets
Energy prices, geopolitical flashpoints, and a Japanese yen under serious pressure - it's a challenging backdrop for any central bank. Nussbaumer and Grimm dissect whether the ECB's anticipated pause is prudent caution or a costly misstep.Follow Beat Nussbaumer on X: x.com/MacrobeatLTry our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇https://www.livesquawk.com/#sign-upFollow us on X:
Q2 Earnings: Analysts Are Bullish - But Can Corporate America Deliver?
Estimates are going up, not down - and that alone should raise eyebrows. Christine Short of Wall Street Horizon joins LiveSquawk to unpack why analyst optimism is running unusually hot heading into Q2 and what the banks' blowout results really signal.Follow Christine Short on X: https://x.com/christinelshortTry our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇https://www.livesquawk.com/#sign-up
Geopolitical Shock: How US-Iran Tensions Are Rewriting Rate Expectations
Chair Warsh has quietly buried forward guidance, and markets are still catching up. With CPI, retail sales, and a volatile energy complex all in play, the inflation narrative is getting complicated fast.Follow Sam Cutler on X: x.com/search4yield3Try our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇https://www.livesquawk.com/#sign-upFollow us on X: https://x.com/LiveSquawk
Weak NFP, Wobbly ECB, and a New Fed Chair: July's Global Reckoning
A soft jobs report hands the Fed's new chairman an unexpected reprieve - but is the labor market cooling or cracking? Harry and Jamie Dutta weigh in on what the NFP miss really means for rate policy.Follow Jamie Dutta on X: https://x.com/vantagemarkets Try our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇https://www.livesquawk.com/#sign-upFollow us on X: https://x.com/LiveSquawk
From Conflict to Contango: The Surprising State of Global Oil Markets
Rory Johnston joins Commodity Corner to break down a global energy market caught between geopolitical de-escalation and a demand shock out of China. With contango building and refinery damage still rippling through the supply chain, the outlook for energy investors is anything but straightforward.Follow Rory Johnston on X: https://x.com/Rory_JohnstonTry our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE!
Starmer Out, Burnham In: UK Crisis Meets Fed Hike Fears and Hormuz Risk
Keir Starmer is out — and markets are watching who fills the vacuum. We break down what Andy Burnham's anticipated rise means for UK assets, sterling, and investor confidence at a precarious moment.Follow Michael on X: https://x.com/MrMBrownTry our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇https://www.livesquawk.com/#sign-upFollow us on X: https://x.com/LiveSquawk
Warsh Era Begins: Fed Holds, Hawks Circle
Kevin Warsh steps into the Fed Chair role with markets expecting a unanimous hold — but it's what changes in the statement that has traders on edge. Is the easing bias about to disappear?Follow Christine on X: https://x.com/christinelshortFollow Joseph Choi on X: https://x.com/curveadvisorTry our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇https://www.livesquawk.com/#sign-upFollow us on X:
ECB Decision Day: One and Done, or Summer Surprise?
ING's global head of macro, Carsten Brzeski, joins LiveSquawk ahead of today's ECB decision to break down why one hike is insurance — and two might be where the risk begins. What would it take for the ECB to reverse course, and could Lagarde's press conference give it away before the summer?Follow Carsten on X: https://x.com/carstenbrzeskiTry our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇https://
Privacy Coin Reckoning: Zcash's Shielded Pool Crisis and Crypto Contagion
The Zcash crisis didn't just crater ZEC — it reignited fears that AI-accelerated code auditing is exposing vulnerabilities across the entire crypto stack. Audi of Credo Fund walks through the contagion, the social engineering threat versus code-level exploits, and whether Bitcoin can move fast enough to address its own quantum computing problem.Follow Credo on X: https://x.com/credo__vTry our 24-h
World Cup Economics: When Geopolitics Moves Markets in June 2026
A resilient US labor market just complicated the Fed's calculus — and the ECB's and Bank of Canada's too. Our experts break down whether this NFP beat marks the start of a new tightening chapter or a last gasp before the cracks appear.Follow Ryan Littlestone on X: https://x.com/2bid8offeredFollow Sam Cutler on X: x.com/search4yield3Try our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇http
Week 13: Middle East Crisis, $Oil, and the ECB's Dangerous Gamble
Beat Nussbaumer joins to dissect the widening gulf between Fed and ECB policy as energy-driven inflation complicates the rate picture on both sides of the Atlantic. With geopolitical risk this elevated, is any long-term trade worth the exposure?Follow Beat Nussbaumer on X: x.com/MacrobeatLTry our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇https://www.livesquawk.com/#sign-upFollow us on X: https:/
Dollar Dominance: How Geopolitical Risk Is Reshaping Central Bank Calculus
The dollar is strengthening, energy costs are climbing, and the British pound is taking hits from every direction. We break down what geopolitical risk really means for rate decisions in London and Frankfurt.Follow Ryan Littlestone on X: https://x.com/2bid8offeredTry our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇https://www.livesquawk.com/#sign-upFollow us on X: https://x.com/LiveSquawk
Digital Assets at the Crossroads: Debt, Hacks & the Midterm Moment
Crypto and politics are colliding fast as the upcoming U.S. midterm elections could fundamentally redraw the regulatory map for exchanges and investors. Plus, a closer look at the DeFi breach that nobody in the space can afford to ignore. Follow Credo on X: https://x.com/credo__vTry our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇 https://www.livesquawk.com/#sign-upFollow us on X: https://x.com/L
Ceasefire or Not, These Markets Have a Problem
Beat Nussbaumer joins Harry to examine why investor exhaustion may be the defining market theme right now, with a UK cabinet reshuffle risk hanging over sterling and the Strait of Hormuz refusing to fade from the radar.Follow Beat on X: x.com/MacrobeatLTry our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇 https://www.livesquawk.com/#sign-upFollow us on X: https://x.com/LiveSquawk
Hold Steady: When Geopolitics Forces Central Banks Into an Impossible Corner
With the U.S. election cycle heating up and civil unrest a growing tail risk, global markets face a political wildcard on top of an already fragile macro backdrop. Muir and Grimm break down how central banks navigate policy when politics becomes the biggest market mover.Follow Kevin on X: https://x.com/kevinmuirTry our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇 https://www.livesquawk.com/#sign-up
Oil Shock: UAE Exits OPEC as Hormuz Crisis Rewrites Energy Markets
The UAE has left OPEC — but that may be the least of oil markets' problems. Rory Johnston breaks down why the Strait of Hormuz closure could be the largest supply shock in recorded history.Follow Rory Johnston on X: https://x.com/Rory_JohnstonTry our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇 https://www.livesquawk.com/#sign-upFollow us on X: https://x.com/LiveSquawk
Rate Hold or Regime Change? The FOMC Decision That Could Reshape Markets
An energy crisis, geopolitical flashpoints, and a labor market that defies easy reading — this FOMC meeting has more landmines than any in recent memory. Rosenberg and Choi on why the disconnect between Wall Street optimism and economic reality is approaching a breaking point.Follow Joseph Choi on X: https://x.com/curveadvisorFollow David Rosenberg on X: https://x.com/EconguyRosieTry our 24-hour n
Beyond the Iran Shock: Why Q1 Earnings Still Have Bulls Talking
Q1 earnings are rolling in and despite Iran-U.S. tensions rattling sentiment, banks and tech are delivering — but how long can the resilience last? We dig into what the numbers are really telling markets, and why AI is becoming the make-or-break line item for corporate guidance.Follow Christine on X: https://x.com/christinelshortTry our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇 https://www.lives
From Fear Factor to Relief Rally: Hormuz, Stocks, and Central Bank Risk
Markets have learned to shrug off macro shocks faster than ever — so what happens when the shock actually resolves? Jamie Dutta and Mike Zaccardi examine the Hormuz relief rally alongside global GDP prints and PMI signals to gauge how deep the Middle East crisis really cut into international growth.Follow Jamie on X: https://x.com/vantagemktsFollow Mike on X: x.com/mikezaccardiTry our 24-hour news
Ceasefire Relief, Lingering Risk: Markets Caught Between Calm and Uncertainty
Ryan Littlestone and Michael Brown join LiveSquawk’s Market Talk to break down the market reaction to a fragile Middle East ceasefire and the resulting relief rally in equities. Despite easing tensions, the discussion highlights persistently high energy prices driven by shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and the broader implications for inflation. They also debate whether central banks l
Narratives vs Reality: Markets Between Headlines and Macro Signals
Kevin Muir, author of The Macro Tourist newsletter, joins LiveSquawk’s Market Talk to unpack the growing disconnect between short-term headlines and underlying macroeconomic trends. The discussion covers geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and their impact on market sentiment, alongside concerns that strong US job growth is increasingly concentrated in non-cyclical sectors, complicating the F
Crisis Under the Surface: Markets Face Stagflation and Hidden Credit Risks
Beat Nussbaumer joins the show to analyze a volatile global landscape shaped by escalating US-Iran tensions and the risk of disruption in the Strait of Hormuz. The discussion explores how rising oil prices are impacting currencies, including pressure on the US dollar and the British pound amid stagflation risks in the UK. They also question the apparent complacency in equity markets, warning that
Oil, Ultimatums & Fed Missteps: Markets React to Iran Tensions
Sam Cutler and Michael Green join Harry on LiveSquawk’s Market Talk to analyze how escalating US-Iran tensions are driving volatility across global markets. The discussion focuses on sharp reactions in oil and equities following shifting ultimatums around the Strait of Hormuz, despite strong global reserves and underlying economic softness. They also examine whether central banks are misreading su
Hawkish Holds and a War Nobody's Priced In
Vincent Deluard joins Harry on LiveSquawk's Market Talk to break down a pivotal week for global markets as the US-Israel-Iran conflict reshapes the macro landscape. The discussion unpacks the Fed's defiant hold — and why Powell's resistance to White House pressure made it the most hawkish FOMC in months without a single rate move. They examine the "Taco Trade" paradox, where
Wait-and-See Mode: ECB and BoE Pause as Crisis Clouds the Outlook
Eric Culp and Jamie Dutta join LiveSquawk’s Market Talk to preview upcoming rate decisions from the Bank of England and the European Central Bank. As geopolitical tensions and energy price shocks intensify, the discussion focuses on why policymakers are shifting into a cautious “wait-and-see” stance despite earlier expectations for rate cuts. They also examine diverging economic conditions between
Oil Shock & Fed Gridlock: Inside March’s High-Stakes FOMC Call
Joseph Choi and David Rosenberg join LiveSquawk’s Market Talk to preview the March 2026 FOMC decision against a backdrop of surging oil prices and rising geopolitical risk. With the war in Iran driving a sharp spike in energy costs, the discussion centers on how the Fed can balance inflation pressures with signs of a weakening labor market. Rosenberg draws parallels to the 1990 Gulf War, arguing t
Oil Surges, Policy on Edge: Markets Grapple with Middle East Conflict
Ryan Littlestone and Michael Brown join LiveSquawk’s Market Talk to dissect the global market impact of ongoing Middle East tensions. The discussion explores rising energy prices, threats to international trade, and the complex challenges facing investors as US and Canadian economic growth softens. They also preview upcoming central bank decisions from the Fed, Bank of England, and ECB, highlighti
Middle East Tensions & Market Shocks: Oil, Jobs, and Rate Risks
Mike Zaccardi joins Harry on LiveSquawk’s Market Talk to assess the early-March 2026 global economic landscape. The discussion focuses on escalating tensions in the Middle East and their impact on oil volatility and international stock markets. They analyze surprisingly weak US labor data, including losses in private sector and manufacturing jobs, while also examining inflationary pressures in the
Tariffs Return, Tensions Rise: Markets Weigh Trade Shocks and Middle East Risk
Beat Nussbaumer and Jamie Dutta join LiveSquawk’s Market Talk to explore how renewed trade tensions and escalating geopolitical risks are shaping global markets. Following a Supreme Court ruling against prior tariffs, President Trump’s new 15% trade barriers have stirred uncertainty—yet currency volatility, particularly in the US dollar, remains surprisingly muted. The discussion also highlights t
Holding Pattern: Sticky Inflation, Tariff Turmoil & Markets on Alert
Ryan Littlestone joins Harry on LiveSquawk’s Market Talk to assess the late-February 2026 macro landscape. The discussion examines the Federal Reserve’s cautious rate stance amid persistent inflation and a shifting labor market, alongside mounting geopolitical volatility—from legal challenges to US tariffs to rising tensions with Iran. They also break down the UK’s mixed economic signals, with coo
Earnings Rebound & AI Bets: Corporate Profits in a Divided Market
Christine Short joins Harry on LiveSquawk’s Market Talk to review the latest trends in corporate earnings. They discuss a recent uptick in profitability and revenue growth, particularly in technology and energy, and examine the impact of massive AI-related capital expenditures on corporate cash flows and investor expectations. The conversation also highlights diverging consumer behavior, with luxu
Earnings Rebound & AI Bets: Corporate Profits in a Divided Market
Christine Short joins Harry on LiveSquawk’s Market Talk to review the latest trends in corporate earnings. They discuss a recent uptick in profitability and revenue growth, particularly in technology and energy, and examine the impact of massive AI-related capital expenditures on corporate cash flows and investor expectations. The conversation also highlights diverging consumer behavior, with luxu
UK Politics Shake the Pound: Dovish Signals and Data Delays Stir Markets
Ryan Littlestone and Michael Brown join LiveSquawk’s Market Talk to assess the shifting economic and political landscape in early 2026. They break down the Bank of England’s narrow vote to hold rates at 3.75% and why it signals a move toward a more dovish path. The discussion also explores mounting political instability in the UK, the ECB’s steady policy stance, and how delayed US economic data du
Politics Over Policy: Why Markets Are Ignoring the ECB and BoE
Eric Culp and Beat Nussbaumer join LiveSquawk’s Market Talk to preview upcoming rate decisions from the Bank of England and the European Central Bank, where both are expected to keep rates unchanged. The discussion highlights how political instability in the UK and US is beginning to overshadow traditional macroeconomic signals, placing unusual pressure on currencies like the pound. They also exam
A Subtle Fed Shift: Language Changes, Leadership Speculation & Global Ripples
Jamie Dutta joins Harry on LiveSquawk’s Market Talk to analyze the Fed’s latest rate decision and why small changes in policy language signaled a less dovish view of the labor market than investors expected. The discussion also explores the potential impact of Kevin Walsh’s nomination as the next Fed Chair, alongside key economic signals from the Eurozone and Canada. Looking ahead, they assess geo
Fed on Hold, Markets on Edge: Inside January’s FOMC Balancing Act
Joseph Choi and Sam Cutler join LiveSquawk’s Market Talk to preview the January 2026 FOMC meeting and the challenges facing policymakers. The discussion centers on expectations for unchanged rates, potential dissent among Fed officials, and the growing disconnect between strong GDP growth and a weakening labor market. They also examine how geopolitical noise — including President Trump’s remarks a
Greenland Gambits & Hawkish Turns: Markets React to a Shifting Global Order
Ryan Littlestone and Michael Brown join LiveSquawk’s Market Talk to unpack the latest global market developments as January draws to a close. The discussion explores Donald Trump’s unconventional positioning at Davos — including renewed attention on Greenland — and the resulting moves in US Treasuries and the dollar. The episode also examines the UK’s mixed economic picture, with solid retail data
Markets in Limbo: Politics, Policy Drift & the Search for Safe Havens
Beat Nussbaumer joins Harry on LiveSquawk’s Market Talk to assess a market environment defined more by uncertainty than conviction. The discussion covers resilient US data, including soft inflation and strong retail sales, set against rising political volatility and growing concerns over central bank independence. They explore how instability in the UK and France is reshaping investor behavior, wh
Tariffs, Troops & Teflon Markets: Why 2026 Resilience Is Being Tested
Mike Zaccardi and Sam Cutler join Harry on LiveSquawk’s Market Talk to unpack the latest U.S. labor data, showing a cooling yet stable jobs market following the recent government shutdown. The conversation expands to major geopolitical developments, including U.S. military action in Venezuela, the strategic push around Greenland, and Supreme Court rulings that could reshape tariffs, inflation, and
Central Banks Hit the Brakes: Yen Shock, Data Doubts & 2026 Risk Signals
Ryan Littlestone of Forex Analytix and Michael Brown, market analyst at Pepperstone UK, join LiveSquawk’s Market Talk to review the major global market shifts closing out 2025. The discussion covers the ECB’s decision to pause rate cuts despite weak growth, criticism of the Bank of England for falling behind the curve, and the Bank of Japan’s rare rate hike and its impact on yen volatility. They a
Year-End Central Bank Crossroads: Europe Holds, Japan Moves
Guenter Grimm and Eric Culp join LiveSquawk’s Market Talk to break down the year-end outlook for global central banks. The discussion covers the ECB’s expected rate hold and lingering inflation risks tied to German fiscal spending, expectations for a Bank of England rate cut amid cooling inflation and a softer labor market, and why a potential Bank of Japan rate hike could mark a historic shift—hi
The Yen Trade Endgame: Global Markets Face a Structural Shift
Beat Nussbaumer and Guenter Grimm join LiveSquawk’s Market Talk Weekly Review to assess the latest global macro developments. The discussion covers the Fed’s latest meeting and rate-cut implications, weak UK GDP data, and the Swiss National Bank’s decision to hold rates. They also weigh in on the Eurozone outlook, upcoming US non-farm payrolls, and the underestimated geopolitical risks surrounding
The Hawkish Cut Dilemma: Fed Politics, Projections & Credibility on Trial
Guests Joseph Choi and Sam Cutler join Harry on LiveSquawk’s Market Talk to preview the upcoming FOMC interest rate decision. They discuss the anticipated 25 basis point “hawkish cut,” potential dissents among committee members, modest changes to the dot plot, and the influence of the upcoming Fed chair transition. Plus, an analysis of current labor market data and what it could mean for the Fed’s
Budget Gambles & Data Vacuums: Markets Navigate a Foggy Macro Landscape
Ryan Littlestone (Forex Analytix) and Michael Brown (Pepperstone) join LiveSquawk’s Market Talk to discuss the latest financial market developments. They focus on US economic data, including stale releases and jobless claims, and their potential impact on the Fed’s December rate decision amid the upcoming speaker blackout period. The episode also covers the UK budget announcement, market reactions
Stale Signals, Real Risks: What the Fed Reads Between the Lines
Guest Sam Cutler joins Harry on LiveSquawk’s Market Talk Weekly Review to break down the latest economic data and its impact on central bank policy. They analyze US Core PCE inflation, ADP payrolls, and consumer sentiment, highlighting how seasonal adjustments and government shutdown delays can skew the numbers. Plus, insights on the Bank of Canada, the UK economy, and year-end portfolio managemen
Data Delays & Tech Whiplash: Markets Brace for a Chaotic Week
Jamie Dutta joins LiveSquawk’s Market Talk to analyze the latest market-moving developments. They cover the impact of delayed US non-farm payroll data after the government shutdown, the Fed’s potential rate decisions, softening UK CPI ahead of the budget, Japan’s fiscal stimulus plans, and market reactions to Nvidia’s earnings. Plus, get a forward-looking take on upcoming US retail sales and the U
Rate Path Reckoning: Global Central Banks Signal New Era
Guests Stelios Kontogoulas (Forex Analytix) and Ryan Littlestone break down recent central bank moves, including the FOMC, BoJ, BoC, and ECB decisions, and explain why traders are scrambling to reposition amid rising uncertainty. Plus, hear their insights on how the next few weeks could shape global interest rate trajectories and monetary policy for the months ahead.Follow Stelios Kontogoulas on L
ECB October Hold: Why Europe Became the Calm in Global Storm
European editor Eric Culp and FX macro trader Beat Nussbaumer explain why the ECB's October 30 decision could be the most important non-event of the week. While markets expect a hold, could Lagarde drop an unexpected bombshell that shifts the euro landscape?Follow Beat Nussbaumer on X: x.com/MacrobeatLTry our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇livesquawk.com/#sign-upFollow us on X: x.co
The Week That Could Break Markets: Three Central Banks Decide
Three major central bank decisions in one week rarely happen by coincidence, and the market implications could be massive. Get Sam Cutler's unfiltered take on which meeting matters most and why this week's outcomes could set the tone for the next quarter.Follow Sam on X: https://x.com/search4yield3Try our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇livesquawk.com/#sign-upFollow us on X: x.co
Liquidity Crunch: Regional Banks Signal Deeper Credit Stress
Early bank earnings reveal that regional lenders are taking decent credit losses as auto and credit card delinquencies spike again, with Chris discussing how the stress is hitting smaller banks hardest while bulge bracket institutions remain relatively insulated from the brewing credit storm.Follow Chris on X: x.com/ChrisStadeleTry our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇livesquawk.com/#sign
Q3 Earnings: Jamie Dimon's Warning vs AI's $1 Trillion Promise
JPMorgan's CEO warns of a 30% recession probability while his own bank crushes estimates and tech earnings surge past 20%. With the government shutdown obscuring critical data and China tensions spiking the VIX to four-month highs, Christine dissects the contradictions driving Q3's most volatile earnings season.Follow Christine Short of wallstreethorizon.com on X: https://x.com/christinels
France: The New Sick Man of Europe Shakes Markets
France has earned the brutal title of “the new sick man of Europe,” with five prime ministers in just over a year — matching Italy’s worst instability records. Commenting on the turmoil, Jamie Dutta notes that with sovereign debt reviews from Moody’s and S&P looming and fresh elections essentially a coin toss by year-end, France’s political paralysis risks spilling over into broader European m
Data Blackout: How the U.S. Government Shutdown is Rewiring Markets
With NFP missing and traders flying blind, markets are abandoning long-term narratives for profit-taking on Swiss Franc and Gold winners. Beat Nussbaumer reveals how the data vacuum is forcing a complete recalibration of Fed expectations and trading strategies.Beat Nussbaumer of https://macrobeat.co.ukFollow Beat on X: x.com/MacrobeatLTry our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇livesquawk.co
Shutdown Showdown: How 69% Odds Could Derail Fed Policy
Markets price a 69% chance of government shutdown disrupting fiscal support and delaying crucial NFP data. With the Fed caught between persistent 2.8% core inflation and a labor market sending conflicting signals, could a shutdown force Powell's hand?Sam Cutler warns that the Fed may be entering “uncharted waters.” He argues that without reliable NFP data, policymakers risk either overreacting
September Scaries Defeated: When Markets Defy Seasonality
The S&P 500 is tracking toward its best September since 2010, defying one of the market's strongest seasonal patterns. When historical trends break this dramatically, smart money pays attention. Guest Mike Zaccardi discusses what's powering this unprecedented September surge.Follow Mike Zaccardi on X: x.com/mikezaccardiTry our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇livesquawk.com/#s
Behind the Curve: Four Months of Hidden Payroll Weakness Exposed
New QCEW data reveal payrolls were overstated by 911,000 jobs, and the revisions keep getting worse each month. Could the Fed be staring at four consecutive months of negative job growth without realizing it?Follow Joseph Choi on X: https://x.com/curveadvisorCheck out Curve Advisor Substack: https://curveadvisor.substack.com/Try our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇livesquawk.com/#sign-up
The Great Dissent: FOMC Split Could Shock Markets
Market analysts warn of an unprecedented three-way FOMC split as committee members push for everything from 50bp cuts to no action at all. Michael and Ryan break down why this internal discord could be more market-moving than the rate decision itself.Follow Ryan on X: https://x.com/2bid8offeredFollow Michael on X: https://x.com/MrMBrownTry our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇livesquawk.c
Global Fiscal Reckoning: Why Bond Yields Are Rising Everywhere
Long-end yields are surging globally as markets judge the fiscal mess across the US, UK, Japan and Europe. Littlestone warns we still haven't paid the piper for 2008 and COVID borrowing - and the reckoning is building.Follow Ryan on X: https://x.com/2bid8offeredTry our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇livesquawk.com/#sign-upFollow us on X: x.com/LiveSquawk
The Employment Pivot: Fed's New Priority Sparks Market Revolution
The Fed's quiet revolution prioritizing employment over inflation has set the stage for a September rate cut, but political interference threatens the entire framework. With UK gilt yields hitting 1998 levels and French spreads widening, Harry and Beat Nussbaumer navigate a world where 'stagflation cocktails' meet government meddling. Uncover the trading strategies that work when polit
Weekly Review: The Great Fed Flip
Despite mounting evidence that inflation isn't going anywhere, the Fed just signaled September cuts - and Sam Cutler isn't buying it. From Walmart's rising tariff costs to manipulated unemployment data, uncover why this dovish pivot could backfire spectacularly.Follow Sam Cutler on X: x.com/search4yield3Try our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇livesquawk.com/#sign-upFollow us on X: x.com/
The Trader's Mind: Why Stress Kills Performance with Sylvain Asimus
After 30 years in markets, veteran trader Sylvain Asimus reveals why the emotional roller coaster destroys more trading accounts than any technical indicator. Discover the neuroscience behind why stress triggers ancient fight or flight responses that sabotage modern market performance.Follow Sylvain on X: https://x.com/SylvainAsimusTry our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇livesquawk.com/#
Trump's Tariff Win: Why 15% Feels Like Victory
Guest Sam Cutler discusses why markets hit near record highs despite looming EU tariffs of 15-30% by August 7th, as Trump's negotiation tactics make moderate tariffs feel like wins. His "art of the deal" approach started with triple-digit threats, making 15% look reasonable to both markets and trading partners. But division among EU members could complicate the response strategy.Foll
Fed's Wait-and-See Trap: Why Powell Won't Cut Despite Market Pressure
With CPI data that could derail any September cut hopes and the specter of the transitory mistake still haunting the Fed, Powell faces an impossible balancing act. Find out why the FOMC might stay frozen through October, even as markets desperately want relief.Follow Jamie Dutta on X: https://x.com/vantagemktsTry our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇livesquawk.com/#sign-upFollow us on X:
The 15% Question: How Trump's Trade Template Changes Everything
Guest Guenter Grimm joins to discuss why the 15% tariff template from Japan could be the eurozone's best-case scenario, but what if Trump delivers something worse? With 20% tariffs marking 'bad deal' territory and 30% spelling disaster, the ECB's September cut plans hang in the balance. The noise-to-information ratio from Washington has never been higher—and neither have the stakes
Q2 Earnings Preview: Growth Slows to 5% as Banks Set Tone
Christine Short reveals why Q2 S&P 500 earnings growth expectations dropped from 9% to 5%, marking the lowest in six quarters. Discover why banks are setting the tone for earnings season and how IPO resurgence with companies like Circle up 500% signals broader market confidence.Follow Christine Short of wallstreethorizon.com on X: https://x.com/christinelshortTry our 24-hour news squawking ser
Weekly Review: Trump's Tariff Reaffirmation, Dollar Stall, and Market Indifference
Beat Nussbaumer examines why Trump's new 35% Canadian tariff and August 1st deadline triggered "very muted" market reactions despite aggressive trade measures. Learn why the dollar's downtrend has "got a little bit stuck" and why traders are shifting from preemptive to reactive strategies.Beat Nussbaumer of https://macrobeat.co.ukFollow Beat on X: x.com/MacrobeatLTry ou
Weekly Review: Jobs Data Deception, Debt Ceiling Impact, and Market Vulnerability
Sam Cutler reveals why May's employment beat is heavily distorted by government jobs with 73,000 government hires masking cyclical job weakness. Learn why the debt ceiling resolution requires $600 billion in new Treasury issuance and why markets face potential weakness around August 20th.Follow Sam Cutler on X: x.com/search4yield3Try our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇livesquawk.com
Commodity Corner: Inflation, Oil Bottoms, and Copper Hype
Guest Chris Stadale warns about inflation complacency, challenges consensus on oil, and pushes back against copper fear-mongering in this week's commodity update.Access the full newsletter here 👉 https://livesquawkcommoditycorner.substack.comFollow Chris on X: x.com/ChrisStadeleTry our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇livesquawk.com/#sign-upFollow us on X: x.com/LiveSquawk
Weekly Review: US Strikes Iran, Central Bank Dovish Shift, and Oil Market Dynamics
Sam Cutler analyzes the market impact of US strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities while examining the broader dovish shift across central banks. Learn why oil's initial 5% surge retreated to equilibrium and why the Fed's "dots" showing two cuts disappointed despite market expectations for just one.Follow Sam Cutler on X: x.com/search4yield3Try our 24-hour news squawking service f
Commodity Corner: Oil Trading, Overvalued Platinum, and Dollar Recovery
Guest Chris Stadale discusses why he doesn't expect oil to spike to $150, why he believes platinum has quite overvalued and his contrarian view on the dollar.Access the full newsletter here 👉 https://livesquawkcommoditycorner.substack.comFollow Chris on X: x.com/ChrisStadeleTry our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇livesquawk.com/#sign-upFollow us on X: x.com/LiveSquawk
FOMC: Rate Hold Expected as Labor Market Shows Troubling Signs
Guests Joseph Choi and Mike Zaccardi examine why a rate cut is unlikely amid concerning job market data including continuing claims near 2021 levels. Plus, why Trump's calls for 100-250bp cuts are very shortsighted and potentially economy-crushing.Follow Joe Choi on X: https://x.com/curveadvisorCheck out Curve Advisor Substack: https://curveadvisor.substack.com/Follow Mike Zaccardi on X: x.com
Weekly Review: CPI Cooling, Tariff Lag Effects, and Central Bank Caution
Guests Mike Brown and Ryan Littlestone analyze why oil jumped 8-9% and "everyone's gone running back to the dollar" amid Middle East tensions. Plus, discover why UK GDP's 0.3% April decline reflects "payback" from Q1 frontloading and signals deeper economic challenges ahead.Follow Micheal Brown on X: x.com/MrMBrownFollow Ryan Littlestone on X: x.com/2bid8offeredTry our
Inflation Outlook: May CPI Expectations and 'Sell America' Theme
Experts guests Jeffrey Hirsch and Beat Nussbaumer discuss their most defensive CPI positioning in months while examining why the dollar continues to sell off hard. Follow Jeffrey Hirsch on X: x.com/AlmanacTraderFollow Beat Nussbaumer on X: x.com/MacrobeatLTry our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇livesquawk.com/#sign-upFollow us on X: x.com/LiveSquawk
Weekly Review: Jobs Data Illusions and Trump-Musk Market Chaos
Guest Sam Cutler joins Harry for weekly review and what to keep an eye on next week. While US payrolls beat at 140K, discover why "headline numbers can be pretty deceiving" with net gains of just 14K over three months after revisions. Plus, how the Trump-Musk public spat created market volatility despite being dismissed as "two grown men arguing."Follow Sam Cutler on X: x.com/s
Commodity Corner: Copper's Strange Behavior and Treasury Outlook
Chris Stadele explains copper's "weird" market dynamics while providing new Treasury price projections as futures roll to a new prompt month. Learn why recent data revisions (April jobs cut by 30K) reinforce his advice to "not chip anything in stone nowadays" amid volatile conditions.Access the full newsletter here 👉 https://livesquawkcommoditycorner.substack.comFollow Ch
ECB Preview: Rate Cut 'Baked in the Cake' Amid Trade Chaos
Guest Guenter Grimm explains why Eurozone inflation falling to 1.9% "basically all but guarantees a cut today." Also discover why Trump's steel tariff hike to 50% makes the ECB decision easier and why central banks are operating in "purely reaction mode" amid unprecedented trade uncertainty.Try our 24-hour news squawking service for FREE! 👇https://www.livesquawk.com/#sign-u
Commodity Corner: Bond Opportunity and Holiday Weekend Effects
Chris Stadele shares why contrarian bond market positioning could be profitable despite widespread negativity following Moody's downgrade. Plus, discover which agricultural market is getting "absolutely pummeled" and why three-day weekends historically mark turning points for market trends.Access the full newsletter here 👉 https://livesquawkcommoditycorner.substack.comFollow Chris
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