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Not Investment Advice

Not Investment Advice

notinvestmentadvice00 23 Episodes Aug 12, 2026

Not Investment Advice is a weekly podcast featuring Ian, Eric, and Kevin in conversation about venture capital, startups, technology, the economy, investing, and markets. Each episode offers informal discussion and analysis aimed at listeners interested in business and financial trends. The show blends personal perspectives with commentary on current developments in tech and investing. It is produced independently and distributed via Podbean.

Episodes

EP13: Airtable’s exit math, Ian’s SpaceX short, and the garbage collectors coming for SaaS.
EP13: Airtable’s exit math, Ian’s SpaceX short, and the garbage collectors coming for SaaS. Aug 12, 2026 2645 Three VCs, one mic, three opinions you won't hear at a fund meeting. Eric Bahn (Hustle Fund), Ian Park (ex-sovereign wealth fund), Kevin Jiang (Mangusta Capital). Recorded live at Hippocampus, San Francisco: http://hippocamp.co CHAPTERS 0:00 Cold open: the first live taping ever 0:48 SpaceX's first earnings as a public company 3:23 Ian shorted SpaceX before the print 5:05 The Tes
EP12: $20B AI Fund Died in Six Days - Leopold’s fund, Korean president’s AI Summit, Elon’s interview
EP12: $20B AI Fund Died in Six Days - Leopold’s fund, Korean president’s AI Summit, Elon’s interview Aug 2, 2026 3313 The chingus get invited to the Korean president's AI Summit in San Francisco, where Sam Altman and Dario Amodei sit in opposite corners while every tech titan in the room courts Korea. Then the story of the week: Leopold Aschenbrenner's 4x-levered, $20 billion Situational Awareness fund gets margin-called into a fire sale, Citadel buys the entire book before the market opens, and the Kospi swings
Everyone ’Got’ SpaceX. Almost Nobody Got It Directly.
Everyone ’Got’ SpaceX. Almost Nobody Got It Directly. Jun 14, 2026 2992 The biggest IPO in history is done. SpaceX went public Friday at a $1.77T valuation, ~4x oversubscribed, then popped ~19% on day one to a ~$2T close — minting ~4,000 millionaires. The chingus recorded on the eve of it and spent the night on the catch: most of the "I'm in SpaceX" crowd got there through SPVs stacked four and five layers deep. The same week, Jeff Bezos raises a $12B pre-seed at a $4
Wall Street’s open. The redemption window isn’t.
Wall Street’s open. The redemption window isn’t. Jun 5, 2026 2534 Money is doing two contradictory things at once this week. The front door is wide open: Anthropic filed its confidential S-1 ahead of OpenAI, SpaceX priced a $75 billion listing for June 12, and Masa Son is on CNBC calling AI “50x bigger” than the dot-com boom. The back door is bolted shut: Cliffwater could only return a third of what its LPs asked for, and Partners Group gated its flagship buyout
SpaceX IPO, Sam vs. Elon, Polymarket Ban, Anthropic Earnings
SpaceX IPO, Sam vs. Elon, Polymarket Ban, Anthropic Earnings May 25, 2026 2590
SpaceX & Anthropic Deal, Cloudflare Layoff, Gamestop & eBay, and Sam Altman
SpaceX & Anthropic Deal, Cloudflare Layoff, Gamestop & eBay, and Sam Altman May 12, 2026 2851 Join us as we dive into the spicy world of tech and business in this episode of the Three Commas Podcast! 🚀 In this episode, we discuss the latest drama surrounding OpenAI, Elon Musk's lawsuit, and the implications for the AI industry. We also explore GameStop's bold move to acquire eBay and what it means for the future of meme stocks. Key takeaways: * The fallout from Elon Musk's lawsuit
AI just blew up a $5.7B PE deal
AI just blew up a $5.7B PE deal May 3, 2026 3297 Three VCs, one mic, three opinions you won’t hear at a fund meeting. Hosted by Eric, Ian, and Kevin. ---------------------------------------- Toma Bravo just handed Medallia to its creditors and ate an estimated $5.7 billion in equity value — the largest LBO write-off since 2008. The story sounds like a one-firm miscalculation, but underneath it is something bigger: AI is starting to reprice
Cursor for $60B, Tesla’s Lie, and FTX’s Lost Empire
Cursor for $60B, Tesla’s Lie, and FTX’s Lost Empire Apr 28, 2026 3492 This week, Sam Bankman-Fried tweeted from prison about the FTX portfolio he could have held — Anthropic, SpaceX, Cursor, Solana, Robinhood — and the boys spent half the episode doing the math on what might have been the greatest VC fund ever assembled by an alleged fraudster. Meanwhile, Elon quietly admitted that 4 million Tesla owners were lied to about Full Self-Driving, SpaceX put a $60 billion
Anthropic Just Lapped OpenAI and Nobody’s Chill
Anthropic Just Lapped OpenAI and Nobody’s Chill Apr 12, 2026 3310 EP2: Three Commas Podcast 00:00 Intro — Disneyland, Tequila Brands & The AI Editorial Bot 02:35 Anthropic Passes OpenAI: $30B ARR — Can You Trust the Numbers? 11:56 Claude Mythos Finds 27-Year-Old Bugs — Groundbreaking AI or Just Great PR? 18:06 Meta Mu Spark Launches to Crickets — What Went Wrong 32:00 The SaaS-pocalypse: Multiples Down 70% & Ian Built 25 Tools for $200
Is JP Morgan Selling Insurance Against the AI Bubble?
Is JP Morgan Selling Insurance Against the AI Bubble? Mar 31, 2026 3059 00:00 - Intro & weekly roundup 01:07 - Uber invests $1.25B in Rivian for robotaxis 04:17 - Ian: why he stopped caring about cars 06:15 - SpaceX IPO — no lockups, biggest offering ever? 09:28 - Google's TurboQuant: the "Middle Out" compression breakthrough 14:10 - Helium, the Middle East war, and chip supply chains 16:03 - Apple opens Siri to Claude, GPT, and all AI models
EP13: $250B Merger Mess, AI Skeptics vs. Token Addicts, and a Matchmaker Who Said No to VCs
EP13: $250B Merger Mess, AI Skeptics vs. Token Addicts, and a Matchmaker Who Said No to VCs Mar 21, 2026 2503 Elon admits XAI was "not built right" and needs a full rebuild — bad news for SpaceX investors. Finance bros still won't let go of Bloomberg terminals, and a new poll shows most Americans are skeptical about AI. Meanwhile, Yann LeCun raises $1B for a company with no product, and Ian reveals a matchmaking startup that got 1,000 signups in 5 days with zero funding. 0:00 Intro 1:03 Elon Says XA
EP12: Two Villains, One Accidental Hero, Zero Saints | Anthropic vs OpenAI vs Trump
EP12: Two Villains, One Accidental Hero, Zero Saints | Anthropic vs OpenAI vs Trump Mar 19, 2026 3134 This week on Not Investment Advice, Eric, Ian, and Kevin break down the Anthropic vs. OpenAI drama after Trump's DOD labeled Anthropic a supply chain risk — and Sam Altman swooped in to sign the contract hours later. Plus, NVIDIA scales back its AI investments, OpenAI's IPO march raises WeWork comparisons, Apple drops a $499 MacBook aimed at killing Chromebooks, and Cluely's founder admits he lied

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